Farnham Town vs Berkhamsted: match statistics
Farnham Town vs Berkhamsted: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Farnham Town played Berkhamsted in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 29 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Farnham Town: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Berkhamsted: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Farnham Town scores 2.14 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Berkhamsted scores 1.48 and concedes 1.19. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Farnham Town 67%, Berkhamsted 52%. Over 2.5: Farnham Town 67%, Berkhamsted 52%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Farnham Town has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.18. Farnham Town: 2.6 shots per match, Berkhamsted: 1.8.
Match halves
Farnham Town: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.36. Berkhamsted: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Farnham Town: 76-90+ (27 goals). Berkhamsted: 61-75 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Farnham Town holds a clear offensive advantage at home: average xG 2.45 and 7.33 on-target shots per match translate to 2.19 home goals per game and 90 goals this season, whereas Berkhamsted away records 1.08 xG, 2.67 on-target shots and 1.19 goals per match (62 goals this season). The hosts control matches (average possession 57% vs 47% for the visitors), with 0% home matches without scoring and a 62% win rate at home, while the visitors win 43% of away fixtures. Defensively the teams are similar — Farnham concedes 1.05 goals per home match on average, Berkhamsted concedes 1.14 away — but the difference in chance quality created (xG 2.45 vs 1.08) is significant. However, the visitors arrive in better form: 4 wins in the last 5 matches and 10 goals in that period, averaging 2.4 points per match over the last five, versus Farnham’s 2 wins, 6 goals and 1.6 points per match. Considering Farnham’s superiority in chance creation and conversion (7.33 vs 2.67 on-target shots, xG 2.45 vs 1.08) and their strong home record, I forecast a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS rates of 57% (Farnham) and 48% (Berkhamsted), with the league average at 59%, providing an overall signal in favor of both teams scoring. Farnham averages 1.76 goals per game with xG 1.29, records 4.83 shots on target and a 21% conversion, while Berkhamsted has a season xG of 1.08 and 1.19 goals per game, but has scored an average of 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches, indicating good attacking form. Both teams concede around 1.2 goals per game (Farnham 1.24, Berkhamsted 1.14) and keep clean sheets in 33% and 38% of matches respectively, so matches without a conceded goal by one side are not dominant. Additionally, Farnham’s home games show Over2.5 in 67% and Over2.5+BTTS in 48%, and although the last 5 matches BTTS for both teams is only 40%, combining these signals I assess BTTS (BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal) as more likely. Final probability: 62% BTTS=Yes and 38% BTTS=No (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Farnham averages 1.76 goals per match (xG 1.29), while Berkhamsted averages 1.19 goals (xG 1.08); after averaging xG_for and opponent xG_against (0.98 against Farnham and 1.17 against Berkhamsted) I project about 1.23 goals for the home side and 1.03 for the visitors. That yields approximately 2.26 total goals in the match. Seasonally Farnham has 81% of matches Over 1.5 goals, Berkhamsted 67% (average 74%); due to Farnham’s higher shots on target (4.83 vs 2.67) and significantly superior conversion rate (21% vs 8%) I increase the probability of Over 1.5 to 76%. The 2.5 line historically stands at 67%/38% (Farnham/Berkhamsted, average ~53%), and the league records an average of 3.15 goals per match, so I assess Over 2.5 at 56%. Over 3.5 performs poorly (29% and 19%, average 24%), therefore I assign it 25% and recommend Over 1.5 as the best signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select 1/1 as the strongest HT/FT scenario (28%). Farnham averages 1.76 goals per match versus 1.19 for the away side and wins 57% of games, giving them the end-of-game advantage. Although a draw at half-time for the hosts occurs frequently (draw at the break in 43% of their matches), when Farnham has a lead at the break (33% of cases) they typically see the result through — the hosts win the second half in 48% of matches and score an average of 1.1 goals after the break, while visitors average 0.57 goals in the second half. Additionally, Farnham has higher xG (1.29 vs 1.08), more shots on target (4.83 vs 2.67) and better conversion (21% vs 8%), which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead. An alternative strong signal is X/1 (24%) due to the frequent half-time draws, but the second-half and conversion statistics argue in favor of 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Farnham Town | Berkhamsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 20% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 3.19 | 4.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Berkhamsted is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Farnham Town · 2.4 pts / match - Berkhamsted
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Farnham Town is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
2.14 goals / match - Farnham Town · 1.48 goals / match - Berkhamsted
Farnham Town scores in 93% of matches (39 of 42 matches), while Berkhamsted keeps a clean sheet in 36% (15 of 42 matches).
Berkhamsted scores in 86% of matches (36 of 42 matches), while Farnham Town keeps a clean sheet in 26% (11 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Farnham Town
Over / Under - Berkhamsted
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Berkhamsted is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Farnham Town · 1.48 pts / match - Berkhamsted
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Farnham Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Berkhamsted - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (27 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +21 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (16 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Farnham Town
Berkhamsted
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Farnham Town | Liga | Berkhamsted | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.15 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 84% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Farnham TownGoalDarryl Sanders
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Farnham Town 1 - 1 - 0 Berkhamsted. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Farnham Town vs Berkhamsted?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Farnham Town 2:1 Berkhamsted. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Farnham Town and Berkhamsted?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Farnham Town won 1, Berkhamsted won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Farnham Town vs Berkhamsted?
Farnham Town score 2.14 goals per game on average and Berkhamsted 1.48. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Farnham Town's matches and 52% of Berkhamsted's.
What form are Farnham Town and Berkhamsted in?
Over the last 5 games Farnham Town have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Berkhamsted 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Farnham Town vs Berkhamsted?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.