Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna: match statistics
Fasil Ketema presents impressive home form, remaining unbeaten this season with 57% wins and an astounding 71% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts concede an average of just 0.29 goals per home match, which constitutes a massive defensive asset. Ethiopia Bunna shows weaker efficiency in away matches, failing to score in 50% of games and securing only 33% wins on the road. The difference in form over the last five matches is distinct – Fasil Ketema earns 1.8 points per match, while the guests average just 1.0. Given the hosts' solid defense, their unbeaten home run, and the guests' scoring struggles away, we predict a victory for Fasil Ketema, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' high draw percentage (43%) in home matches.
Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fasil Ketema played Ethiopia Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Fasil Ketema: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Ethiopia Bunna: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fasil Ketema scores 0.77 and concedes 0.23 goals per match. Ethiopia Bunna scores 0.85 and concedes 1.08. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fasil Ketema 23%, Ethiopia Bunna 46%. Over 2.5: Fasil Ketema 0%, Ethiopia Bunna 38%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Fasil Ketema has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.18. Fasil Ketema: 9.0 shots per match, Ethiopia Bunna: 7.8.
Match halves
Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.46. Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Fasil Ketema: 61-75 (3 goals). Ethiopia Bunna: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fasil Ketema presents impressive home form, remaining unbeaten this season with 57% wins and an astounding 71% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts concede an average of just 0.29 goals per home match, which constitutes a massive defensive asset. Ethiopia Bunna shows weaker efficiency in away matches, failing to score in 50% of games and securing only 33% wins on the road. The difference in form over the last five matches is distinct – Fasil Ketema earns 1.8 points per match, while the guests average just 1.0. Given the hosts' solid defense, their unbeaten home run, and the guests' scoring struggles away, we predict a victory for Fasil Ketema, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' high draw percentage (43%) in home matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fasil Ketema is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
0.77 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.85 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Fasil Ketema is 370% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.23 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.08 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Fasil Ketema scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 77% (10 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.31 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fasil Ketema
Ethiopia Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.00 | 1.71 | ▲ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 23% | 42% | ▲ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 77% | 39% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 31% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 46% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopia BunnaGoalAbubakar Adamu
FAQ
What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 0:2 Ethiopia Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Fasil Ketema score 0.77 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Bunna 0.85. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 23% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 46% of Ethiopia Bunna's.
What form are Fasil Ketema and Ethiopia Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Ethiopia Bunna 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.