Fasil Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena: match statistics
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Fasil Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fasil Ketema play Hadiya Hosaena in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 9 February 2026 at 13:00.
Current form
Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fasil Ketema 26%, Hadiya Hosaena 47%. Over 2.5: Fasil Ketema 18%, Hadiya Hosaena 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Fasil Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.04. Fasil Ketema: 7.2 shots per match, Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1.
Match halves
Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.42. Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fasil Ketema is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.2 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hadiya Hosaena is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.82 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Fasil Ketema is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fasil Ketema
Over / Under — Hadiya Hosaena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.08 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fasil Ketema
Hadiya Hosaena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | • 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 40% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 34% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fasil Ketema 1 - 0 - 0 Hadiya Hosaena. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Fasil Ketema and Hadiya Hosaena play?
Fasil Ketema face Hadiya Hosaena on 9 February 2026 in Ethiopia Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Fasil Ketema score 0.74 goals per game on average and Hadiya Hosaena 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's.
What form are Fasil Ketema and Hadiya Hosaena in?
Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Hadiya Hosaena 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.