Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: match statistics
Fasil Ketema showcases solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 63% clean sheets at their home ground, making them a tough opponent at home. However, their recent overall form is mixed (wdldw), and an average of just 0.75 goals per home match indicates offensive struggles. Kedus Giorgis has a weaker away record (33% wins, 44% losses) and a concerning 44% of matches without scoring away from home, although their possession (52%) and xG (1.32) suggest offensive potential. The visitors' recent form (dlwld) and a wwwllddll series in away matches show inconsistency. Considering the hosts' defensive strength combined with their attacking issues and the visitors' away inconsistency, the most likely scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for Fasil Ketema.
Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fasil Ketema played Kedus Giorgis in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Fasil Ketema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Kedus Giorgis: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fasil Ketema scores 0.81 and concedes 0.44 goals per match. Kedus Giorgis scores 0.88 and concedes 0.71. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fasil Ketema 25%, Kedus Giorgis 29%. Over 2.5: Fasil Ketema 6%, Kedus Giorgis 12%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.20. Fasil Ketema: 8.5 shots per match, Kedus Giorgis: 9.2.
Match halves
Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.44. Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Fasil Ketema: 0-15 (3 goals). Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fasil Ketema showcases solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 63% clean sheets at their home ground, making them a tough opponent at home. However, their recent overall form is mixed (wdldw), and an average of just 0.75 goals per home match indicates offensive struggles. Kedus Giorgis has a weaker away record (33% wins, 44% losses) and a concerning 44% of matches without scoring away from home, although their possession (52%) and xG (1.32) suggest offensive potential. The visitors' recent form (dlwld) and a wwwllddll series in away matches show inconsistency. Considering the hosts' defensive strength combined with their attacking issues and the visitors' away inconsistency, the most likely scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for Fasil Ketema.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fasil Ketema is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kedus Giorgis is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.88 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis
Fasil Ketema is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.44 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.71 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis
Fasil Ketema scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
Kedus Giorgis scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 69% (11 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
Over / Under - Kedus Giorgis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.41 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fasil Ketema
Kedus Giorgis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.25 | 1.72 | ▼ 1.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 6% | 27% | ▼ 12% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 69% | 41% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 31% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Fasil KetemaGoalMignot Debebe
FAQ
What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 1:0 Kedus Giorgis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Fasil Ketema score 0.81 goals per game on average and Kedus Giorgis 0.88. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 29% of Kedus Giorgis's.
What form are Fasil Ketema and Kedus Giorgis in?
Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Kedus Giorgis 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.