Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Mekelakeya presents a significantly better offensive form, scoring an average of 1.73 goals per away match with a 20% conversion rate, whereas Fasil Ketema scores an average of only 0.73 goals in home matches. The visitors boast a much higher average ball possession (60% vs 44%) and record more shots on target (3.45 vs 3), which proves their offensive dominance. Fasil Ketema is going through a crisis of form, losing four of their last five matches and earning merely 0.2 points per game, which drastically weakens their chances. Mekelakeya has a positive away goal difference (+6) and a 45% win rate, making them the favorite in this clash. Additionally, the visitors score in 91% of their away matches, which, given the hosts' poor form, gives them a clear advantage to claim the victory.
Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fasil Ketema played Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Fasil Ketema: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Mekelakeya: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. Mekelakeya scores 1.25 and concedes 0.88. League average: 1.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fasil Ketema 30%, Mekelakeya 42%. Over 2.5: Fasil Ketema 13%, Mekelakeya 29%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.15. Fasil Ketema: 7.3 shots per match, Mekelakeya: 8.4.
Match halves
Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.43. Mekelakeya: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Fasil Ketema: 31-45+ (4 goals). Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya presents a significantly better offensive form, scoring an average of 1.73 goals per away match with a 20% conversion rate, whereas Fasil Ketema scores an average of only 0.73 goals in home matches. The visitors boast a much higher average ball possession (60% vs 44%) and record more shots on target (3.45 vs 3), which proves their offensive dominance. Fasil Ketema is going through a crisis of form, losing four of their last five matches and earning merely 0.2 points per game, which drastically weakens their chances. Mekelakeya has a positive away goal difference (+6) and a 45% win rate, making them the favorite in this clash. Additionally, the visitors score in 91% of their away matches, which, given the hosts' poor form, gives them a clear advantage to claim the victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelakeya is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.2 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.25 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Fasil Ketema is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.88 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Fasil Ketema scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
Mekelakeya scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 57% (13 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.71 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fasil Ketema
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.39 | 1.76 | ▲ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 41% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 40% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 30% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 58% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fasil Ketema 0 - 1 - 0 Mekelakeya. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 0:0 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
Fasil Ketema score 0.74 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.25. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 42% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Fasil Ketema and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Mekelakeya 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.