Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fasil Ketema play Welayta Dicha in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 30 November 2025 at 11:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Welayta Dicha: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Welayta Dicha scores 0.97 and concedes 0.82. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fasil Ketema 26%, Welayta Dicha 45%. Over 2.5: Fasil Ketema 18%, Welayta Dicha 26%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.14. Fasil Ketema: 7.2 shots per match, Welayta Dicha: 8.6.

Match halves

Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.42. Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

38Possession (%)62
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
5Shots6
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
1Shots on target3
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0.9xG1.14
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
3Corners1
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
71Dangerous attacks75
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
13Fouls8
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0Cards0
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0.74Goals scored / match0.97
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0.74Goals conceded / match0.82
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
46%Average possession47%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
2.24Shots on target / match3.03
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.24Shots per match8.58
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
2.24Shots on target3.03
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
10.2%Shot conversion11.3%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
46%Possession47%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
1.14xG for1.31
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
1.1xG against0.99
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

Shooting quality

Fasil Ketema: BalancedWelayta Dicha: Balanced
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fasil Ketema is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.6 pts / match - Welayta Dicha

Fasil Ketema
LWWLW
Season result split
37% W34% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-13-11
1.45 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Welayta Dicha
DWLWD
Season result split
29% W47% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-18-9
1.34 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-8-5
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Welayta Dicha is 31% better for: goals scored per match.

0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.97 goals / match - Welayta Dicha

Fasil Ketema is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.82 goals / match - Welayta Dicha

Fasil Ketema scoring profile: mixed

Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

Welayta Dicha scoring profile: mixed

Welayta Dicha scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).

28Goals scored (season)37
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
28Goals conceded (season)31
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
1.47Average goals in match1.79
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
4Goals scored (last 5)5
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
2Goals conceded (last 5)2
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal61%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
11%2 goals24%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
5%3 goals11%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0%4 goals3%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

How often they concede at least...

45%1 goal58%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
21%2 goals21%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
8%3 goals3%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0%4 goals0%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time13%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
3%BTTS in both halves0%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
8%Scored in both halves11%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

BTTS and goal count

16%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0%BTTS - last 520%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

34%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
8%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

2nd half

61%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fasil Ketema is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.13 pts / match - Welayta Dicha

Fasil Ketema - half-time state
24% leading71% draw5% trailing
Welayta Dicha - half-time state
18% leading58% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)1.13
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.34
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0.45Average goals (1st half)0.76
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
87%Clean sheet before half-time66%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
71%No goal before half-time68%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.37
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
1.03Average goals (2nd half)1.03
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
63%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha
63%No goal after half-time61%
Fasil KetemaWelayta Dicha

Fasil Ketema - second-half results

24% W47% R29% P
54
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding154%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Welayta Dicha - second-half results

29% W50% R21% P
43
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fasil Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Welayta Dicha - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fasil Ketema
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
6
0
31-45
3
9
46-60
6
6
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Welayta Dicha
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
7
9
31-45
5
2
46-60
10
5
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fasil Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Welayta Dicha

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Fasil KetemaLigaWelayta Dicha
Average goals in match 1.471.78 1.79
Both teams scored 26%40% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 18%28% 26%
Clean sheets 55%40% 42%
Goal before half-time 34%56% 53%
Goal after half-time 61%59% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Fasil Ketema 1 - 0 - 0 Welayta Dicha. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 1:1 Welayta Dicha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?

Fasil Ketema score 0.74 goals per game on average and Welayta Dicha 0.97. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 45% of Welayta Dicha's.

What form are Fasil Ketema and Welayta Dicha in?

Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Welayta Dicha 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fasil Ketema vs Welayta Dicha: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.