Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği: match statistics
Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fatih Karagümrük played Gençlerbirliği in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Fatih Karagümrük: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Gençlerbirliği: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fatih Karagümrük scores 0.87 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Gençlerbirliği scores 0.97 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fatih Karagümrük 48%, Gençlerbirliği 52%. Over 2.5: Fatih Karagümrük 48%, Gençlerbirliği 52%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Fatih Karagümrük has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.11. Fatih Karagümrük: 10.8 shots per match, Gençlerbirliği: 10.4.
Match halves
Fatih Karagümrük: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.42. Gençlerbirliği: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Fatih Karagümrük: 76-90+ (9 goals). Gençlerbirliği: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (Fatih Karagümrük) based on superiority in chance creation and finishing. At home Fatih averages 10.73 shots and 3.2 on target per match versus Gençlerbirliği’s 8.53 shots and 2.2 on target away, with average xG 1.15 vs 0.92, indicating higher offensive quality for the hosts. Fatih averages 1.00 goal at home and has an FTS of 40%, while the visitors score just 0.6 goals away and fail to score in 53% of away matches; additionally the hosts record 27% clean sheets versus 13% for the visitors. Both teams concede 1.47 goals per match, but xG against is worse for the visitors (1.8 vs 1.5), suggesting greater defensive vulnerability on Gençlerbirliği’s side. Although the visitors have better recent form across the last 5 matches (PPG 1.2 vs hosts’ 0.8), shot metrics, xG and efficiency favor a home victory, with a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season BTTS rate is 56% for Fatih Karagümrük and 47% for Gençlerbirliği, with league BTTS at 54%, providing an initial signal in favor of BTTS - Yes. Both teams concede on average around 1.38 (home) and 1.47 (away) goals per game, and xG against is 1.46 for Karagümrük and 1.80 for Gençlerbirliği, indicating realistic scoring opportunities for both sides. The hosts generate more attacking threat: xG 1.28 and 4.13 shots on target per game with an 11% conversion, while the visitors have xG 0.92, 2.2 shots on target and a 7% conversion; however, the visitors keep a clean sheet in only 13% of matches. Counterarguments are weaker recent BTTS form: in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred at 40% for the hosts and 20% for the visitors, and recent scoring averages over the last 5 are only 0.6 and 0.8 goals, which reduces confidence in the pick. Weighing season BTTS metrics (56%/47%), relatively high average goals conceded (1.38/1.47) and the visitors' low clean sheet percentage, I recommend BTTS - Yes with a 60% probability versus 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I expect a total of ~2.73 goals: home 1.54 (xG_for 1.28 vs xG_against visitors 1.80) and visitors 1.19 (xG_for 0.92 vs xG_against home 1.46). This translates to a high probability for Over 1.5 — I assess it at 76% (Under 24%), which aligns with seasonal Over1.5 rates: home 75% and visitors 53%. The 2.5 line is less decisive: I give Over 52%/Under 48%, consistent with the league average Over2.5 52% and the seasonal 56% (home) vs 47% (visitors). I rate Over 3.5 at 30% (Under 70%) — home have 25% of matches with ≥4 goals, visitors only 13%, so a higher total is less likely. Additionally, the home side creates more chances (12.19 shots and 4.13 SOT vs 8.53 and 2.2) and have better conversion 11% vs 7%, which strengthens Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I rate HT/FT 1/1 as the most likely outcome because the home side led at the break in 44% of matches (7 cases) versus 13% for the away side (2 cases). Fatih Karagümrük has a clear offensive edge: xG 1.28 versus 0.92, averaging 12.19 shots and 4.13 shots on target per match versus 8.53 and 2.2 for Gençlerbirliği, and the season goals-per-game of 1.31 versus 0.6 confirms greater scoring potency. At half-time the hosts average 0.63 goals and the visitors 0.27, and 81% of home matches had at least one goal before the break (vs 60% for away matches), which increases the likelihood of a goal before half-time is blown. Additionally, the hosts win 38% of matches compared to just 7% for Gençlerbirliği, and the visitors concede 1.8 xG against, so a scenario where the home side takes the lead at the break and maintains it through to full-time appears the strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fatih Karagümrük | Gençlerbirliği | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fatih Karagümrük is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük · 0.6 pts / match - Gençlerbirliği
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gençlerbirliği is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük · 0.97 goals / match - Gençlerbirliği
Gençlerbirliği is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük · 1.42 goals / match - Gençlerbirliği
Fatih Karagümrük scores in 58% of matches (18 of 31 matches), while Gençlerbirliği keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
Gençlerbirliği scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Fatih Karagümrük keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fatih Karagümrük
Over / Under - Gençlerbirliği
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gençlerbirliği is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük · 1.26 pts / match - Gençlerbirliği
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fatih Karagümrük - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 16%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gençlerbirliği - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Fatih Karagümrük | Liga | Gençlerbirliği | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 52% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 0 - 1 Gençlerbirliği. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği?
The Süper Lig match finished Fatih Karagümrük 1:0 Gençlerbirliği. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği?
Fatih Karagümrük score 0.87 goals per game on average and Gençlerbirliği 0.97. The Süper Lig average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Fatih Karagümrük's matches and 52% of Gençlerbirliği's.
What form are Fatih Karagümrük and Gençlerbirliği in?
Over the last 5 games Fatih Karagümrük have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gençlerbirliği 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği?
The statistical background for Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.