Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor: match statistics
Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fatih Karagümrük played Rizespor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Fatih Karagümrük: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Rizespor: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fatih Karagümrük scores 0.89 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Rizespor scores 1.23 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fatih Karagümrük 48%, Rizespor 50%. Over 2.5: Fatih Karagümrük 44%, Rizespor 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Rizespor has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.17. Fatih Karagümrük: 10.7 shots per match, Rizespor: 12.5.
Match halves
Fatih Karagümrük: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.44. Rizespor: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Fatih Karagümrük: 76-90+ (8 goals). Rizespor: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rizespor holds both a results and statistical advantage: they sit 11th versus Fatih Karagümrük’s 18th, have 7 wins this season compared to the home side’s 4, and a superior goal record — 32 scored and 36 conceded versus 24 scored and 47 conceded. In the last 5 matches the visitors have won 3 times and average 1.8 points per game, while the hosts have won 2 and average 1.4 points per game. Away, Rizespor scores 1.46 goals on average and fail to score in only 23% of fixtures, whereas Fatih at home average 0.92 goals and have 46% of matches without a goal, which clearly favors the visitors’ attacking efficiency. Additionally, the visitors average 11.85 shots (3.85 on target) and have average xG 1.28 versus the hosts’ 10.69 shots (3.08 on target) and xG 1.13; with a similar average of goals conceded (1.46) I forecast a narrow Rizespor win with a realistic risk of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend BTTS - Yes — the primary signal is the away side’s seasonal BTTS at 69% versus the home 31% and the league average of 54%. Both teams concede over 1 goal per game (home 1.31, away 1.46), increasing the likelihood of the opponent scoring. xG shows home xG_for 1.36, away xG_for 1.28, while opposing defenses have xG_against 1.51 and 1.57, so both sides produce roughly 1.3 expected goals against this opponent. In the last 5 matches the home team scored 6 and conceded 5 (1.2 and 1.0) with BTTS 40%, whereas the away team scored 7 and conceded 5 (1.4 and 1.0) but their BTTS in the last 5 is only 20%, which lowers confidence. Considering the away 69% seasonal BTTS, the league average 54%, and the noted xG and conceded goals averages, I estimate BTTS probability at about 62% and No Goal at 38%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based model: Fatih Karagümrük’s attacking xG is 1.36, Rizespor’s attacking xG is 1.28; averaging with xG conceded to the opponent (1.57 for Rizespor and 1.51 for Fatih) yields expected goals of 1.47 for the home side and 1.40 for the away side, total 2.87. That is 0.28 goals above the league average of 2.59, which shifts the distribution toward a higher goal count and increases the probability of exceeding the 2.5 line compared to season rates of 46% (home) and 54% (away). The strongest signal is for the 1.5 line: Fatih has Over1.5 in 62% of matches, Rizespor in 77%, and a Poisson based on 2.87 gives about a 78% chance of at least 2 goals. Additionally, Rizespor is more efficient (on average 11.85 shots with a 12.0% conversion vs. 13.15 shots and 8.0% conversion for Fatih), which elevates the risk of goals for both teams. As a result I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal; Over 2.5 is rated as moderately likely (~55%), and Over 3.5 as less certain (~32%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Both teams have similar attacking metrics: xG 1.36 for Fatih versus 1.28 for Rizespor and on average 3.77 vs 3.85 shots on target, indicating an evenly matched and low-conversion game. Rizespor records 54% draws on the road, while Fatih are level at half-time in 46% of their home matches, increasing the probability of a draw at the break. Additionally, Fatih keep a clean sheet at half-time in 77% of home fixtures and have an average of 0.77 goals by half-time versus 1.31 for Rizespor — the differences are small and first halves are frequently low-scoring. Considering these figures along with low shot conversion (8% vs 12%) and seasonal goals-per-game averages of 2.31 vs 2.92, the strongest signal from the data is a draw at half-time and a draw after 90 minutes (X/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fatih Karagümrük | Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rizespor is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük · 2 pts / match - Rizespor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rizespor is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük · 1.23 goals / match - Rizespor
Rizespor is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük · 1.38 goals / match - Rizespor
Fatih Karagümrük scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while Rizespor keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Rizespor scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Fatih Karagümrük keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fatih Karagümrük
Over / Under - Rizespor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rizespor is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük · 1.31 pts / match - Rizespor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fatih Karagümrük - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rizespor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fatih Karagümrük
Rizespor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Fatih Karagümrük | Liga | Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.58 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 0 - 1 Rizespor. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
The Süper Lig match finished Fatih Karagümrük 2:1 Rizespor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
Fatih Karagümrük score 0.89 goals per game on average and Rizespor 1.23. The Süper Lig average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Fatih Karagümrük's matches and 50% of Rizespor's.
What form are Fatih Karagümrük and Rizespor in?
Over the last 5 games Fatih Karagümrük have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Rizespor 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.