FC Andorra vs Ceuta: match statistics

Ceuta come into the match with a clearly better record over their last five fixtures: they have won 3 times, while FC Andorra have managed only 2 victories. The visitors have scored 7 goals during this period, the same as the hosts, but have averaged 1.8 points per match compared with Andorra’s 1.2. FC Andorra have conceded 6 goals in their last five appearances, while Ceuta have conceded 7, so the visitors’ advantage is primarily based on their greater ability to turn matches into wins. Ceuta also sit 9th, three places above 12th-placed FC Andorra, which further supports their slight advantage. The lack of data separating home and away results limits the confidence of the prediction, but the current trend points towards an away win.

The latest data indicate a moderate lean toward a scenario with goals from both sides: Ceuta recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, while FC Andorra did so in 40%. Both teams scored 7 goals during this period, averaging 1.4 goals per match each, which provides a solid basis for expecting both to find the net. FC Andorra conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, compared with 1.4 for Ceuta, so neither defense looks particularly tight. However, the hosts created clearly better chances, with an average xG of 1.65 compared with Ceuta’s 1.03, while xG against stood at 1.11 and 1.27, respectively. The edge is limited by Andorra’s BTTS rate of only 40%, but the combination of both teams scoring regularly and their defensive numbers offers greater support for the BTTS - Yes pick.

Data from the last five matches points to a moderately goal-heavy profile: FC Andorra averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Ceuta both scored and conceded 1.4 goals per game. The hosts have a clearer advantage in chance quality, with an average xG of 1.65 compared with Ceuta’s 1.27 xG conceded, while the visitors’ attack generates only 1.03 xG against 1.11 xG conceded by Andorra. Over 2.5 goals landed in 40% of Andorra’s recent matches and 60% of Ceuta’s, supporting a projected total of around 2.55 goals, but not providing a strong edge for Over 2.5. The Under 3.5 line offers a greater safety margin, as four or more goals would require a clear deviation above both teams’ recent averages.

Ceuta have shown a clearly stronger start in their last five matches: they were leading at the break in 60% of games, compared with just 20% for FC Andorra. The hosts went into half-time trailing in 40% of those matches and averaged only 0.4 goals before the break, compared with Ceuta’s 0.8. The visitors won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 points per game, while Andorra won twice and averaged 1.2 points. Although Andorra score an average of 1.0 goal after half-time, Ceuta concede only 0.6 goals per match in this period, limiting the hosts’ chances of completing a full turnaround. The strongest scenario therefore remains Ceuta leading at the break and securing the final victory: HT/FT 2/2.