FC Arouca vs CD Nacional: match statistics
The match is shaping up as an evenly contested clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. FC Arouca is showing better form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG) compared to CD Nacional (0.8 PPG), however, the hosts struggle in home games, winning only 27% of their matches and conceding an average of over 2 goals per game. CD Nacional performs better on the road, failing to score in only 18% of away matches and maintaining a solid goal difference (-2 in away matches). The xG statistics are very similar for both teams, suggesting an even quality of play. Considering CD Nacional's high percentage of draws away (36%) and the uncertain form of the hosts at home, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although Arouca's slight form advantage gives them marginally better chances of victory.
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Arouca played CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
FC Arouca: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. CD Nacional: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Arouca scores 1.27 and concedes 2.23 goals per match. CD Nacional scores 1.23 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Arouca 55%, CD Nacional 59%. Over 2.5: FC Arouca 68%, CD Nacional 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
CD Nacional has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.19. FC Arouca: 10.3 shots per match, CD Nacional: 11.9.
Match halves
FC Arouca: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.68. CD Nacional: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
FC Arouca: 46-60 (7 goals). CD Nacional: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is shaping up as an evenly contested clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. FC Arouca is showing better form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG) compared to CD Nacional (0.8 PPG), however, the hosts struggle in home games, winning only 27% of their matches and conceding an average of over 2 goals per game. CD Nacional performs better on the road, failing to score in only 18% of away matches and maintaining a solid goal difference (-2 in away matches). The xG statistics are very similar for both teams, suggesting an even quality of play. Considering CD Nacional's high percentage of draws away (36%) and the uncertain form of the hosts at home, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although Arouca's slight form advantage gives them marginally better chances of victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Arouca | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Arouca is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - FC Arouca · 0.8 pts / match - CD Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Nacional is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.23 goals / match - FC Arouca · 1.41 goals / match - CD Nacional
FC Arouca scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
CD Nacional scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Arouca
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Nacional is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - FC Arouca · 1.32 pts / match - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Arouca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 23%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Arouca
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| FC Arouca | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FC Arouca 1 - 0 - 0 CD Nacional. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Arouca vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished FC Arouca 0:0 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Arouca vs CD Nacional?
FC Arouca score 1.27 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.23. The Liga NOS average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 55% of FC Arouca's matches and 59% of CD Nacional's.
What form are FC Arouca and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games FC Arouca have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and CD Nacional 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Arouca vs CD Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.