FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães: match statistics
Vitória Guimarães are showing better form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG) compared to FC Arouca (1.4 PPG), indicating their momentum advantage. Arouca have very poor home results, winning just 20% of home matches and conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game, while Guimarães show a higher xG (1.4) in away matches than Arouca at home (1.24). The visitors also boast better defensive efficiency on the road (44% clean sheets) and a higher average possession (51% vs 49%). Arouca are 14th in the table with a -10 home goal difference, highlighting their difficulties in defending their home ground. Taking all these factors into account, Vitória Guimarães have a real chance to secure three points in this encounter.
FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Arouca played Vitória Guimarães in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
FC Arouca: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Vitória Guimarães: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Arouca scores 1.15 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Vitória Guimarães scores 1.05 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Arouca 50%, Vitória Guimarães 35%. Over 2.5: FC Arouca 65%, Vitória Guimarães 40%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Vitória Guimarães has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.19. FC Arouca: 10.4 shots per match, Vitória Guimarães: 13.2.
Match halves
FC Arouca: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65. Vitória Guimarães: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
FC Arouca: 46-60 (6 goals). Vitória Guimarães: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitória Guimarães are showing better form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG) compared to FC Arouca (1.4 PPG), indicating their momentum advantage. Arouca have very poor home results, winning just 20% of home matches and conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game, while Guimarães show a higher xG (1.4) in away matches than Arouca at home (1.24). The visitors also boast better defensive efficiency on the road (44% clean sheets) and a higher average possession (51% vs 49%). Arouca are 14th in the table with a -10 home goal difference, highlighting their difficulties in defending their home ground. Taking all these factors into account, Vitória Guimarães have a real chance to secure three points in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Arouca | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Arouca is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - FC Arouca · 1.05 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães
Vitória Guimarães is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - FC Arouca · 1.35 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães
FC Arouca scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Vitória Guimarães scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Arouca
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitória Guimarães is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - FC Arouca · 1.15 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Arouca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Arouca
Vitória Guimarães
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| FC Arouca | Liga | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.35 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 30% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FC Arouca 0 - 1 - 0 Vitória Guimarães. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães?
The Liga NOS match finished FC Arouca 3:2 Vitória Guimarães. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães?
FC Arouca score 1.15 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães 1.05. The Liga NOS average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of FC Arouca's matches and 35% of Vitória Guimarães's.
What form are FC Arouca and Vitória Guimarães in?
Over the last 5 games FC Arouca have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Arouca vs Vitória Guimarães: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.