FC Bacău vs Dumbrăviţa: match statistics
FC Bacău vs Dumbrăviţa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Bacău played Dumbrăviţa in Liga II (Romania). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
FC Bacău: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Dumbrăviţa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Bacău scores 1.27 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Dumbrăviţa scores 1.15 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Bacău 50%, Dumbrăviţa 62%. Over 2.5: FC Bacău 42%, Dumbrăviţa 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
FC Bacău has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.17. FC Bacău: 9.4 shots per match, Dumbrăviţa: 8.3.
Match halves
FC Bacău: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50. Dumbrăviţa: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
FC Bacău: 31-45+ (10 goals). Dumbrăviţa: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga II: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FC Bacău are favourites for this match: their average home xG is 1.64 versus Dumbrăviţa’s 1.06 xG on the road, indicating hosts create more high-quality chances. Bacău average 12.3 shots and 5.0 on target per home game, while the visitors register only 7.69 shots and 2.77 on target, translating to 1.46 vs 1.21 average goals per game. Defensively the hosts also look stronger — they concede 1.15 goals at home compared to Dumbrăviţa’s 1.86 away, and the conceded xG (1.35 vs 2.07) shows the visitors allow more clear opportunities. In the last 5 matches Bacău have scored 5 goals, won 2 of 5 and average 1.2 points per game in that period, while Dumbrăviţa also scored 5 goals but won only 1 and average 0.8 points per game. The visitors have a higher shot conversion (17% vs 12%), which poses some threat, however a high away loss rate (64%) and lower possession (39% vs 47%) tilt the edge toward a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a strong historical signal for BTTS: FC Bacău records BTTS in 58% of matches and Dumbrăviţa in 64%, giving a baseline around 61%. Dumbrăviţa concedes on average 1.86 goals per game with xG against 2.07, and FC Bacău concedes 1.08 with xG against 1.74, so both defenses allow goal-scoring opportunities (Dumbrăviţa conceded 39 goals, FC Bacău 33). Offensively FC Bacău generates xG 1.29, 9.83 shots and 3.92 shots on target with a conversion rate of 11% (33 goals scored), while Dumbrăviţa has xG 1.06, 7.69 shots and a conversion of 17% (30 goals), indicating both sides can create and finish chances. Counterarguments are FC Bacău’s 42% clean sheets and a drop in BTTS to 40% in the last 5 matches for both teams, plus a high league clean sheet rate of 57%, which reduces confidence that both teams will score. After weighing factors I give 65% to BTTS - Yes and 35% to No Goal — season-long BTTS dominance 58%/64% and Dumbrăviţa’s poor defense (1.86 goals conceded and xG against 2.07) lean towards backing BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG indicate a combined value of approximately 3.08 goals: home xG 1.29 vs opponent xG conceded 2.07 yields (1.29+2.07)/2 ≈ 1.68 expected goals for the home side, while away xG 1.06 vs opponent xG conceded 1.74 yields ≈1.40 for the visitors. This is above the seasonal goal averages: homes score 1.08 goals on average, visitors 1.21, suggesting potential for higher goal output than current tallies. Both teams have high Over 1.5 rates — 67% for the home side and 71% for the away side (avg 69%) — and the league average is 2.7 goals, which further increases the likelihood of exceeding 1.5 goals. Homes average 9.83 shots (3.92 on target) with an 11% conversion (~1.08 goals), visitors 7.69 shots (2.77 on target) with 17% conversion (~1.31 goals), and both teams record BTTS in 58% and 64% of matches respectively (avg ~61%), supporting the over. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I recommend backing the Over at the 1.5 line); Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (~58% probability) due to the combined xG ≈3.08 and frequent both-teams-scoring, while Over 3.5 looks unlikely (below 30%) since only the away side has a high share of matches >3.5 (43%), homes only 17%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics point toward a draw at half-time: the home side were level at the break in 58% of their matches, whereas Dumbrăviţa only in 14%, making a draw after 45 minutes the most likely scenario. After the interval, however, the advantage should lie with the hosts — the visitors concede on average 1.00 goals in the second half and have a negative second-half goal difference (-4), while Bacău has a positive +1 and keeps a second-half clean sheet in 75% of cases. Additionally, Bacău generates more xG (1.29 vs 1.06) and records more shots on target (3.92 vs 2.77), and their average points of 1.33 exceeds the opponents’ 0.93; Dumbrăviţa lose 64% of their matches this season. On that basis the strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1), hence that selection as the recommendation. This view is also supported by recent form: the hosts have won 40% of their last five matches versus 20% for the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Bacău | Dumbrăviţa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Bacău is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - FC Bacău · 0.8 pts / match - Dumbrăviţa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Bacău is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - FC Bacău · 1.15 goals / match - Dumbrăviţa
FC Bacău is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - FC Bacău · 1.5 goals / match - Dumbrăviţa
FC Bacău scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Dumbrăviţa keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Dumbrăviţa scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while FC Bacău keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Bacău
Over / Under - Dumbrăviţa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FC Bacău is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - FC Bacău · 1.15 pts / match - Dumbrăviţa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Bacău - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dumbrăviţa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Bacău
Dumbrăviţa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).
Teams vs league
| FC Bacău | Liga | Dumbrăviţa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.54 | 2.70 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 72% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 82% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- FC BacăuGoalCodrin Oasenegre
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FC Bacău 1 - 0 - 0 Dumbrăviţa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Bacău vs Dumbrăviţa?
The Liga II match finished FC Bacău 1:0 Dumbrăviţa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Bacău vs Dumbrăviţa?
FC Bacău score 1.27 goals per game on average and Dumbrăviţa 1.15. The Liga II average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of FC Bacău's matches and 62% of Dumbrăviţa's.
What form are FC Bacău and Dumbrăviţa in?
Over the last 5 games FC Bacău have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Dumbrăviţa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Bacău vs Dumbrăviţa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.