FC Cajamarca vs ADT: match statistics
FC Cajamarca vs ADT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cajamarca played ADT in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
FC Cajamarca: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. ADT: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cajamarca scores 1.11 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. ADT scores 0.90 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cajamarca 44%, ADT 40%. Over 2.5: FC Cajamarca 44%, ADT 30%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
ADT has higher xG: 1.42 vs 0.98. FC Cajamarca: 8.6 shots per match, ADT: 13.6.
Match halves
FC Cajamarca: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. ADT: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
FC Cajamarca: 76-90+ (5 goals). ADT: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw (X): the hosts are in clear crisis — 0 points in the last 5 matches (5 losses) and only 3 goals scored in that span. ADT has scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches and averages 0.8 points per game in those five fixtures, giving them a form edge over the hosts. FC Cajamarca’s advantage on paper is home efficiency — 1.75 goals per game on average with xG 1.19, 10.5 shots and 4.25 shots on target, and a conversion rate of 17%. ADT, however, only scores 0.6 goals on average away (xG 0.98) and fails to score in 60% of away matches, but concedes just 1.2 goals on average and keeps 40% clean sheets, which can neutralize the hosts’ offensive edge. The xG comparison (1.19 vs 0.98), conversion rates (17% vs 7%) and form (0 pts vs 0.8 pts in the last 5) suggest an even, low-scoring game, so the most likely results are 1:1 or 0:0.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 65% probability because the league BTTS rate is 56% and hosts record BTTS in 60% of matches versus ADT's 20%, giving a premium to both teams scoring. Over the last 5 fixtures the signals are mixed: FC Cajamarca have only 20% BTTS and average 0.6 goals scored vs 2.0 conceded, while ADT have 60% BTTS and average 1.2 goals scored with a recent xG_for of 1.7 (vs hosts 0.85). Additional support for BTTS comes from the hosts generating 1.86 xG this season and averaging 18.2 shots (6.2 on target), while conceding an average of 2.0 goals in the last five, increasing the likelihood of conceding. Summing the league trend (56%), the hosts' seasonal attacking potential and FC Cajamarca's recent defensive issues, I assess that both teams are more likely to score in this match.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Pairing xG and xG against yields expected goals: home xG 1.86 vs away xG 0.98 and home xG against 1.25 vs away 1.12; I aggregate expected goals as 1.49 for the home side and 1.12 for the away, total 2.61. With a total of 2.61 the Poisson model gives probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈73%, Over 2.5 ≈48% and Over 3.5 ≈27%. Additionally, hosts average 18.2 shots and 6.2 on target per match versus 9.0 and 3.4 for guests, and hosts have 100% of matches with at least one goal (guests 80%), which increases the chance of at least 2 goals. Seasonally hosts hit Over 2.5 in 40% of matches, guests in 20%, and the league average is 2.64 goals per game — this explains the moderate Over 2.5 probability (~48%). The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (Poisson ~73%, high number of hosts’ shots on target and high share of hosts’ matches with a goal), therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data analysis indicates an advantage for FC Cajamarca in the first half: leadingAtHT_home = 3.0 (60%) means the home side led at the break in 3 of 5 recorded cases, while ADT has leadingAtHT_away = 0.0 (0%). Offensively Cajamarca performs better: home xG is 1.86 vs 0.98 for ADT, on average 6.2 shots on target vs 3.4 and 18.2 shots vs 9.0, which correlates with the seasonal goals per game of 1.2 vs 0.6. However, risk of losing a lead must be considered — Cajamarca conceded 3 goals in minutes 76–90 (3.0) while ADT conceded none in that phase (0.0), which increases the likelihood of a turnaround to a draw after the break. In light of these figures the strongest signal is a home lead at the break and a home win at full time (1/1) — I assign this a 42% probability, with 14% for 1/X and 14% for X/X as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cajamarca | ADT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cajamarca is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - FC Cajamarca · 0.9 goals / match - ADT
ADT is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - FC Cajamarca · 1.3 goals / match - ADT
FC Cajamarca scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while ADT keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
ADT scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while FC Cajamarca keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cajamarca
Over / Under - ADT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ADT is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - FC Cajamarca · 1.3 pts / match - ADT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cajamarca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
ADT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cajamarca
ADT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| FC Cajamarca | Liga | ADT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 56% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 79% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cajamarca vs ADT?
The Primera División match finished FC Cajamarca 2:2 ADT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cajamarca vs ADT?
FC Cajamarca score 1.11 goals per game on average and ADT 0.90. The Primera División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 44% of FC Cajamarca's matches and 40% of ADT's.
What form are FC Cajamarca and ADT in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cajamarca have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and ADT 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cajamarca vs ADT?
The statistical background for FC Cajamarca vs ADT — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.