FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima: match statistics
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cajamarca played Alianza Lima in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 31 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
FC Cajamarca: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Alianza Lima: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cajamarca scores 1.38 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. Alianza Lima scores 1.81 and concedes 0.44. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cajamarca 63%, Alianza Lima 38%. Over 2.5: FC Cajamarca 56%, Alianza Lima 38%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Alianza Lima has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.06. FC Cajamarca: 9.6 shots per match, Alianza Lima: 13.6.
Match halves
FC Cajamarca: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.94. Alianza Lima: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
FC Cajamarca: 76-90+ (8 goals). Alianza Lima: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2). Alianza Lima has 12 wins this season versus FC Cajamarca’s 4 and a far superior goal difference (29 scored and 7 conceded vs 22 scored and 27 conceded). Away, Alianza wins 63% of matches, keeps 63% clean sheets and concedes only 0.38 goals on average, while the home side scores a lot at home (avg. 2.14 goals per match and 4.71 shots on target) but also concedes 1.71 goals and has 0% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches Cajamarca scored 10 and conceded 7 (3 wins), while Alianza scored 8 and conceded 2 (4 wins); the average points in the last 5 are 2.0 for the home team and 2.6 for the visitors. The difference is mainly due to the visitors’ defense (avg. xG against 1.22 vs 1.58 for the home side), even though the hosts have higher xG for (1.27 vs 1.06) and better shot conversion (19% vs 9%), so I favour the away defence and back an Alianza win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
FC Cajamarca at home averages 2.75 goals scored and generates xG 1.98 with 7.38 shots on target; in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 10 goals (2.0 avg) and conceded 1.4 goals per game. Alianza Lima has 8 goals in the last 5 matches (1.6 avg) and xG 1.62, but on the season concedes only 0.38 goals per game and records 63% clean sheets, which argues against BTTS. A strong signal for “BTTS - Yes” is that FC Cajamarca had BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches, and Alianza in 40% — the average of these forms is 70%, above the league BTTS level of 55%. Considering the hosts’ advantage in shots and efficiency (18.0 shots with 15% conversion vs 9.25 shots and 9% for the visitors) and the fact both teams have recently shown goal-scoring ability, I tip BTTS 'Yes' (approx. 62%) vs 38% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG of both teams is 3.04 (home xG 1.98 vs away 1.06), indicating a genuine potential for at least three goals. FC Cajamarca averages 2.75 goals per match with 18.0 shots and 7.38 on target (conversion 15%), while Alianza Lima averages 0.88 goals with 9.25 shots and 2.75 on target (conversion 9%), so the bulk of goal production should come from the home side. This season Over 1.5 has occurred in 88% of Cajamarca’s home matches and Over 2.5 in 63% at home; for the visitors these rates are 25% and 13% respectively, and in the last 5 fixtures the hosts registered 80% Over 2.5. A Poisson distribution with λ=3.04 yields approximately 81% probability for over 1.5 goals and 59% for over 2.5, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5. For these reasons I recommend backing the Over line at 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HT analysis shows the home side led at the break in 5 home matches, i.e. in 63% of games (leadingAtHT_home = 5; leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 63%), and the average goals by half-time are 1.25 for the hosts versus 0.5 for the visitors (scoredAVGHT_home = 1.25 vs scoredAVGHT_away = 0.5). Over the full match the home team scores on average 2.75 goals per game compared to 0.88 for the away side, and win at home in 88% of cases (seasonScoredAVG_home = 2.75; seasonScoredAVG_away = 0.88; winPercentage_home = 88%), which strongly supports maintaining the lead. The quality of created chances favors the hosts: home xG is 1.98 versus 1.06 for the visitors, and shots on target 7.38 vs 2.75 (xg_for_avg_home = 1.98 vs 1.06; ShotsOnTargetAVG_home = 7.38 vs 2.75), so the away team will have limited opportunities for a turnaround. Additionally, the hosts have 88% clean sheets at half-time (seasonCSPercentageHT_home = 88%), therefore the strongest signal from the data is a home lead at half-time and a home win at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cajamarca | Alianza Lima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alianza Lima is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - FC Cajamarca · 2.6 pts / match - Alianza Lima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alianza Lima is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - FC Cajamarca · 1.81 goals / match - Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima is 284% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.69 goals / match - FC Cajamarca · 0.44 goals / match - Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Alianza Lima keeps a clean sheet in 56% (9 of 16 matches).
Alianza Lima scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while FC Cajamarca keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cajamarca
Over / Under - Alianza Lima
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alianza Lima is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - FC Cajamarca · 2 pts / match - Alianza Lima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cajamarca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Alianza Lima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| FC Cajamarca | Liga | Alianza Lima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.06 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 79% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
The Primera División match finished FC Cajamarca 1:1 Alianza Lima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
FC Cajamarca score 1.38 goals per game on average and Alianza Lima 1.81. The Primera División average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 63% of FC Cajamarca's matches and 38% of Alianza Lima's.
What form are FC Cajamarca and Alianza Lima in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cajamarca have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Alianza Lima 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.