FC Caspiy vs Astana: match statistics
FC Caspiy vs Astana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Caspiy play Astana in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
FC Caspiy: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Astana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Caspiy scores 0.89 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Astana scores 1.47 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Caspiy 44%, Astana 47%. Over 2.5: FC Caspiy 39%, Astana 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Astana has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.01. FC Caspiy: 9.2 shots per match, Astana: 15.5.
Match halves
FC Caspiy: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Astana: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
FC Caspiy: 76-90+ (6 goals). Astana: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Astana is the favorite in this matchup: they sit 5th compared to Caspiy in 16th and have scored 11 goals this season versus the home side’s 3. The stats indicate an advantage for the visitors — away, Astana averages 4.67 shots on target and 63% possession, while Caspiy at home average 3.5 shots on target and 52% possession. In the last 5 matches Astana have scored 8 goals and averaged 1.6 points, while Caspiy have 5 goals and 0.6 points, indicating greater consistency from the visitors. Despite similar average xG (1.23 for the hosts vs 1.39 for the visitors), the hosts score only 0.5 goals per match on average with a low conversion of about 4% and have a 100% home defeat rate (0 wins, 6 losses), whereas Astana have 33% clean sheets on the road; therefore I forecast a victory for the visitors and assess probabilities as 65% for Astana, 25% for a draw and 10% for Caspiy.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Caspiy | Astana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Astana is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - FC Caspiy · 1.47 goals / match - Astana
Astana is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - FC Caspiy · 1.12 goals / match - Astana
FC Caspiy scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Astana scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while FC Caspiy keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — FC Caspiy
Over / Under — Astana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Astana is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - FC Caspiy · 1.59 pts / match - Astana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Caspiy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Astana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Caspiy
Astana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| FC Caspiy | Liga | Astana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Caspiy vs Astana?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished FC Caspiy 1:0 Astana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Caspiy vs Astana?
FC Caspiy score 0.89 goals per game on average and Astana 1.47. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 44% of FC Caspiy's matches and 47% of Astana's.
What form are FC Caspiy and Astana in?
Over the last 5 games FC Caspiy have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Astana 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Caspiy vs Astana?
The statistical background for FC Caspiy vs Astana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


