FC Caspiy vs Kaisar: match statistics
FC Caspiy vs Kaisar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Caspiy played Kaisar in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 14 June 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
FC Caspiy: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kaisar: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Caspiy scores 0.58 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Kaisar scores 0.69 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Caspiy 33%, Kaisar 54%. Over 2.5: FC Caspiy 33%, Kaisar 31%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Kaisar has higher xG: 1.21 vs 0.95. FC Caspiy: 8.3 shots per match, Kaisar: 11.5.
Match halves
FC Caspiy: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. Kaisar: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.15.
Goals by minute
FC Caspiy: 76-90+ (3 goals). Kaisar: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.18 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FC Caspiy holds a tangible home advantage: they score on average 1.0 goal per home match and find the net in 75% of appearances (FTS 25%), while Kaisar register only 0.2 goals per away match and have no away wins yet (Win% 0%, FTS 80%). xG suggests created chances are comparable (FC Caspiy xG 1.20 at home vs Kaisar xG 1.15 away), but Kaisar have a higher xG against (1.9 vs 1.63) and a slightly worse goals conceded profile (on average 1.6 vs 1.5 conceded), which increases the visitors' risk. Efficiency favors the hosts: Caspiy conversion rate is 9% with an average of 3 shots on target per match vs 2% for Kaisar with 3.6 on target, meaning the visitors generate chances but convert them far less often. In the last 5 matches FC Caspiy scored 4 and conceded 4 with 1.4 points per game, whereas Kaisar scored 5 but conceded 8 and have 1.0 PPG, further supporting greater stability for the hosts. Based on this I propose a distribution of 60% for a home win, 25% for a draw and 15% for a Kaisar win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Kaisar averages only 0.2 goals per game this season and has a shot conversion rate of 2%, which significantly limits their scoring chances. FC Caspiy have a historical home BTTS of 75%, xG_for 1.26 and on average 3.88 shots on target, yet in the last 5 home matches the hosts averaged 0.8 goals and only 20% of those games ended BTTS. Kaisar concedes 1.6 goals per game on average, and in their last 5 matches they had xG_for 1.3 and 5 goals scored (1.0 per game), so recently they created chances, but the season-long return of 0.2 goals remains a critical constraint. Considering the league-level BTTS rate of 52% and a high clean sheet frequency of 61%, statistically a No Goal outcome is common; combined with Kaisar’s low efficiency (0.2; 2%) this provides a stronger signal towards "no". Therefore I assess BTTS probability at 35% and No BTTS at 65%, recommending "no".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I base the expected goals estimate on xG: FC Caspiy’s attacking xG is 1.26, while Kaisar concedes an average xG of 1.90 – yielding roughly 1.58 goals for the home side; conversely Kaisar’s attacking xG is 1.15 versus Caspiy’s conceded xG of 1.43, giving about 1.29 for the away side, total ≈2.87. A Poisson model with λ=2.87 gives probability of at least 2 goals ≈78%, and seasonally over 1.5 occurred in 75% of the home team’s matches and 80% of the away team’s matches, which strongly supports Over 1.5. The 2.5 line gives mixed signals: seasonally Over 2.5 is 38% for the home side and 20% for the away side, but in the last 5 away matches Over 2.5 was 60% – our model shows P(Over 2.5)≈55%, i.e. a moderate edge for Over. Over 3.5 looks weak seasonally (13% for the home side, 0% for the away side) and the model gives P(Over 3.5)≈32%, so Under 3.5 is a safer choice, while the strongest signal from the data is Over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
FC Caspiy averages 1.00 goals per match versus Kaisar’s 0.20, with xG at 1.26 versus 1.15, indicating a home advantage in chance creation. At Half-Time Caspiy averages 0.75 goals and has led at the break in 38% of home matches (10 goals in home halves vs 3 for Kaisar), while Kaisar averages only 0.20 goals at the break and led at the break in 20% of matches, so a lead at the break for the home side is more probable. Kaisar concedes 1.6 goals per match on average and has lost 60% of fixtures this season, and in 80% of their games the away side fails to score, which significantly limits the visitors’ chances of a Full-Time win. Caspiy produces more shots (12.5 vs 10.0) and has higher conversion efficiency (8% vs 2%), therefore the strongest signal from the data is a Half-Time/Full-Time outcome of home leading at the break and winning at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Caspiy | Kaisar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Caspiy is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - FC Caspiy · 0.8 pts / match - Kaisar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kaisar is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
0.58 goals / match - FC Caspiy · 0.69 goals / match - Kaisar
FC Caspiy is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - FC Caspiy · 1.31 goals / match - Kaisar
FC Caspiy scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Kaisar keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Kaisar scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while FC Caspiy keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Caspiy
Over / Under - Kaisar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kaisar is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - FC Caspiy · 1.46 pts / match - Kaisar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Caspiy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kaisar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Caspiy
Kaisar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| FC Caspiy | Liga | Kaisar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.83 | 2.18 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 58% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 70% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Caspiy vs Kaisar?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished FC Caspiy 1:2 Kaisar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Caspiy vs Kaisar?
FC Caspiy score 0.58 goals per game on average and Kaisar 0.69. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 33% of FC Caspiy's matches and 54% of Kaisar's.
What form are FC Caspiy and Kaisar in?
Over the last 5 games FC Caspiy have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kaisar 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Caspiy vs Kaisar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Caspiy vs Kaisar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.