FC Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea: match statistics

FC Cetatea Suceava have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals, although Bihor Oradea have also recorded 4 wins over that period. The key difference lies in home and away form: the hosts have won 67% of their home matches, while the visitors have lost 60% of their away games. Cetatea average 2.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded at home, while Bihor score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per away match. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 1.78 xG compared with the visitors' 1.38; Bihor have failed to score in 40% of their away matches. These figures point to a Cetatea win, although Bihor's strong recent run means a closely contested match cannot be ruled out.

BTTS has landed in 33% of FC Cetatea Suceava’s matches and 40% of Bihor Oradea’s, both below the league average of 53%. The hosts concede just 0.33 goals per match on average and keep a clean sheet in 67% of their games, limiting the visitors’ chances of scoring. Bihor have failed to score in 40% of their matches, although their average xG of 1.38 suggests they can create chances. Meanwhile, the hosts score 2.0 goals per match on average, while the visitors concede 1.6, making Bihor failing to score more likely than a goalless draw. Over their last five matches, both teams conceded an average of 0.6 goals, while BTTS landed in 40% and 20% of their matches, respectively—further supporting the BTTS - No pick.

At least two goals were scored in 83% of FC Cetatea Suceava’s matches and 80% of Bihoru Oradea’s, making this the strongest indicator in favor of Over 1.5 goals. The hosts average 2.0 goals scored and 5.33 shots on target per match, while the visitors concede an average of 1.6 goals. At the same time, Cetatea concede just 0.33 goals per match, so despite Bihor averaging 1.2 goals scored, I do not expect the visitors to post a high total. The hosts have averaged 2.6 goals scored across their last five matches, further supporting a forecast of at least two goals. Over 1.5 goals has a clearer edge than Over 2.5, which has landed in only 33% of the hosts’ matches and 40% of the visitors’ matches.

The strongest signal in favor of the home side leading at the break is that they have won the first half in all 6 of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 1.33 goals and conceding none. Bihor led at the break in 2 of their 5 away matches, scoring an average of 0.6 goals in the first half. Cetatea’s home record supports the expectation that they will maintain their lead: they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per match, compared with Bihor’s 1.6 goals conceded away from home. The hosts also have a higher attacking xG average, 1.81 compared with the visitors’ 1.38, and have scored an average of 1.6 goals after the break in their last 5 matches, against 0.6 for their opponents. Bihor’s strong recent form adds uncertainty—they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and led at the break in each of them—but the data from matches in the corresponding home and away roles more strongly point to Cetatea leading at half-time and winning at full-time.