Romania - Liga IIStadionul AreniData current as of 13 August 2026

FC Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

FC Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

FC Cetatea Suceava play CSM Satu Mare in Liga II (Romania). The match date is 15 August 2026. Venue: Stadionul Areni.

Current form

FC Cetatea Suceava: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. CSM Satu Mare: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

FC Cetatea Suceava scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. CSM Satu Mare scores 0.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: FC Cetatea Suceava 50%, CSM Satu Mare 50%. Over 2.5: FC Cetatea Suceava 50%, CSM Satu Mare 0%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

FC Cetatea Suceava has higher xG: 2.22 vs 1.65. FC Cetatea Suceava: 20.5 shots per match, CSM Satu Mare: 14.5.

Match halves

FC Cetatea Suceava: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. CSM Satu Mare: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

FC Cetatea Suceava: 46-60 (2 goals). CSM Satu Mare: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga II: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.83)
(3.40)
(3.85)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
1.5Goals scored / match0.5
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
1.5Goals conceded / match1.5
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%Average possession51%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
6.5Shots on target / match4
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

20.5Shots per match14.5
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
6.5Shots on target4
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
7.3%Shot conversion3.4%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%Possession51%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
2.22xG for1.65
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
1.27xG against1.14
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare

Shooting quality

FC Cetatea Suceava: AttackingCSM Satu Mare: Attacking
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
Accuracy (shots on target)32%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.13

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

FC Cetatea Suceava is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.5 pts / match - FC Cetatea Suceava · 0.5 pts / match - CSM Satu Mare

FC Cetatea Suceava
LW
Season result split
50% W0% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 2.22Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
CSM Satu Mare
DL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

FC Cetatea Suceava is 200% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - FC Cetatea Suceava · 0.5 goals / match - CSM Satu Mare

FC Cetatea Suceava scoring profile: very strong

FC Cetatea Suceava scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while CSM Satu Mare keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

CSM Satu Mare scoring profile: mixed

CSM Satu Mare scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while FC Cetatea Suceava keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

3Goals scored (season)1
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
3Goals conceded (season)3
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
3Average goals in match2
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
3Goals scored (last 5)1
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%2 goals0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
0%3 goals0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
0%4 goals0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal100%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%2 goals50%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%3 goals0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
0%4 goals0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
FC Cetatea Suceava - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 2 matches
64%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time50%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
0%BTTS in both halves0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%Scored in both halves0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%BTTS - last 550%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

FC Cetatea Suceava is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - FC Cetatea Suceava · 0.5 pts / match - CSM Satu Mare

FC Cetatea Suceava - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing
CSM Satu Mare - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)0.5
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
1Goals conceded (1st half)1.5
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
1.5Average goals (1st half)2
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%Clean sheet before half-time0%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%No goal before half-time50%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
1Goals scored (2nd half)0
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
1.5Average goals (2nd half)0
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
50%Clean sheet after half-time100%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare
0%No goal after half-time100%
FC Cetatea SuceavaCSM Satu Mare

FC Cetatea Suceava - second-half results

50% W50% R0% P
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

CSM Satu Mare - second-half results

0% W100% R0% P
1
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-1.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

FC Cetatea Suceava - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.502.00
Goals scored / match0.51.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.5
Average goals in match1.51.5
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal50%0%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 50% leading - 0% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
CSM Satu Mare - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.501.00
Goals scored / match0.50.0
Goals conceded / match1.50.0
Average goals in match2.00.0
1 goal100%0%
2 goals100%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal50%100%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

FC Cetatea Suceava
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

CSM Satu Mare
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

FC Cetatea Suceava

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.95
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.72
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

CSM Satu Mare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).

Teams vs league

FC Cetatea SuceavaLigaCSM Satu Mare
Average goals in match 3.002.73 2.00
Both teams scored 50%64% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%55% 0%
Clean sheets 50%20% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%73% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%77% 0%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

When do FC Cetatea Suceava and CSM Satu Mare play?

FC Cetatea Suceava face CSM Satu Mare on 15 August 2026 in Liga II at Stadionul Areni. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before FC Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare?

FC Cetatea Suceava score 1.50 goals per game on average and CSM Satu Mare 0.50. The Liga II average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of FC Cetatea Suceava's matches and 50% of CSM Satu Mare's.

What form are FC Cetatea Suceava and CSM Satu Mare in?

Over the last 5 games FC Cetatea Suceava have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and CSM Satu Mare 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare?

The statistical background for FC Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.