FC Cetatea Suceava vs Popești-Leordeni: match statistics

Popești-Leordeni sit 5th, while FC Cetatea Suceava are 10th, and the visitors remain unbeaten this season: 2 wins and 2 draws. Recent form also slightly favors the away side, who have collected 10 points from their last five matches and scored 13 goals, compared with 6 goals and 6 points for the hosts. Cetatea do, however, create quality chances at home, averaging 1.87 xG from 15.5 shots and 6 shots on target per match—almost identical to the visitors’ 1.85 xG away from home. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored at home but concede the same number, while Popești-Leordeni have drawn both of their away fixtures so far and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The comparable quality of chances created, combined with the visitors’ clear away-draw trend, points to the spoils being shared.

The BTTS signal is clear, as both teams have recorded goals at both ends in 100% of their matches this season, and neither side has kept a clean sheet. Cetatea Suceava average 3.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Popești-Leordeni score an average of 1.0 goals and concede 1.0. In their last five matches, the visitors have been particularly effective, averaging 2.6 goals per game, while both teams have conceded 1.4 goals per match. Their attacking potential is supported by high xG figures: 1.89 for the hosts and 2.04 for the visitors over their last five matches, with 1.19 and 1.25 xG conceded defensively, respectively. Although the hosts’ recent BTTS rate stands at only 40%, the combination of their poor defensive performances and the visitors’ current attacking efficiency points towards BTTS - Yes.

The profile of both teams clearly points towards goals: the hosts’ average xG is 2.18, while the visitors’ stands at 1.85, with 1.55 and 1.38 xG conceded respectively. In their last five matches, Popești-Leordeni averaged 2.6 goals scored, while both teams conceded 1.4 goals per game. Each side surpassed the 1.5-goal threshold in 100% of their matches so far this season, and both have consistently scored at least once. Although Cetatea’s last five matches produced Over 2.5 goals in only 40% of games, the visitors’ attacking potential and the combined projected total of 3.15 goals make Over 1.5 goals by far the safest choice.

The strongest signal comes from Popești-Leordeni’s current form: the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals, while Cetatea Suceava have lost 3 of 5 games and scored only 1.2 goals per match. Before half-time, the home side were trailing in 60% of their last five appearances, whereas the visitors were leading in 40% and recorded a positive 3:0 goal difference during this period. Popești-Leordeni generate an average xG of 1.85, while Cetatea allow opponents an xG of 1.55, supporting the possibility of an away lead at the break. Although the hosts have a very high average of 3.5 goals in the available home matches, their defence has kept no clean sheets there, and the visitors’ superior current finishing efficiency points towards a 2/2 scenario.