FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II: match statistics
FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cincinnati II played Columbus Crew II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 14 June 2026. Venue: Northern Kentucky University Stadium. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
FC Cincinnati II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Columbus Crew II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cincinnati II scores 1.00 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Columbus Crew II scores 1.79 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cincinnati II 42%, Columbus Crew II 79%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati II 58%, Columbus Crew II 71%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Columbus Crew II has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.28. FC Cincinnati II: 10.0 shots per match, Columbus Crew II: 12.9.
Match halves
FC Cincinnati II: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.75. Columbus Crew II: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
FC Cincinnati II: 46-60 (3 goals). Columbus Crew II: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Columbus Crew II sit 8th in the table versus 27th-placed FC Cincinnati II; season records are 7-3-4 for Columbus and 3-0-9 for the hosts. Guests have scored 25 goals this season compared to the hosts' 12. In the last 5 matches Columbus scored 9 and conceded 8, while Cincinnati II managed only 3 goals and conceded 11. Average xG are similar (1.39 for Columbus vs 1.35 for Cincinnati), but the visitors post higher possession (53% vs 41%) and more shots per game (11.43 vs 10.83), giving them an edge in control and chance creation. Defensively both teams are vulnerable: Columbus concedes 2.29 goals on the road on average, hosts concede 1.33 at home; however, in the last 5 games the hosts have conceded 11 versus 8 for the guests, and clean sheets stand at 33% for Cincinnati and 0% for Columbus. Considering the visitors’ superior seasonal record and form (1.6 points per game in the last 5 vs 0.6 for the hosts), higher goal output (25 vs 12) and better match control, I predict a Columbus Crew II win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high seasonal BTTS rates: FC Cincinnati II 71% and Columbus Crew II 86%, versus the league average of 61%. In the last 5 matches Columbus has BTTS 100%, while the hosts only 40%; in those 5 games the hosts scored 3 goals (0.6 per game) and conceded 11 (2.2 per game), whereas the visitors scored 9 (1.8 per game) and conceded 8 (1.6 per game). xG stats show the hosts generate 1.71 xG and allow 1.55 xG, and the visitors generate 1.39 xG and allow 1.85 xG, which suggests chance creation and concession on both sides. Additionally Columbus has no clean sheets this season (0%), and FC Cincinnati II have only 29% of matches without conceding, increasing the likelihood of goals from both teams. Based on these numbers I assess BTTS as more probable — 78% for YES (BTTS - Yes) versus 22% for NO (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
FC Cincinnati II averages 2.0 goals per match, Columbus Crew II 1.57; this season the percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 86% for the home side and 100% for the away side. xG shows 1.71 for FC Cincinnati II and 1.39 for Columbus Crew II, while xG against is 1.55 (home) and 1.85 (away); the average of these values yields expected goals of 1.78 for the home team and 1.47 for the away team, totaling 3.25. BTTS is high: 71% for the home team and 86% for the away team, and the percentage of matches over 2.5 goals is 71% for both teams, which reinforces the over signal. In the last 5 matches FC Cincinnati II scored only 3 and conceded 11 (0.6 scored/2.2 conceded per match), while Columbus in the last 5 scored 9 and conceded 8 (1.8/1.6), so despite the home side’s poorer form the total goals should remain high. Based on this the strongest signal is the Over 1.5 line (probability of Over 1.5: 92%), with Over 2.5 also showing moderate support (~72%), and Over 3.5 being less likely (~45%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select the scenario of a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1). A draw at the break is the most likely outcome because the home side had a half-time draw in 57% of matches and the visitors in 43% — together this indicates a strong prevalence of draws in the first half. After the break the home team demonstrates a pronounced advantage: they score on average 1.57 goals in second halves and win 71% of second halves, which supports a turnaround and taking control after the 45th minute. Seasonal indicators reinforce this view — the home side averages 2.43 points per match versus 1.00 for the visitors, has an xG of 1.71 versus 1.39 and records more on-target shots (5.71 vs 4.57), while the away team concedes on average 2.29 goals per match. Nevertheless, one must account for the home team’s short-term weaker form ('wllll' and only 20% wins in the last five), so alternative scenarios (e.g. 1/1 or X/X) retain some probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati II | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Columbus Crew II is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II · 1.6 pts / match - Columbus Crew II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Columbus Crew II is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II · 1.79 goals / match - Columbus Crew II
Columbus Crew II is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II · 1.64 goals / match - Columbus Crew II
FC Cincinnati II scores in 58% of matches (7 of 12 matches), while Columbus Crew II keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
Columbus Crew II scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati II
Over / Under - Columbus Crew II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Columbus Crew II is 97% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.58 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II · 1.14 pts / match - Columbus Crew II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Columbus Crew II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cincinnati II
Columbus Crew II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati II | Liga | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 62% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): FC Cincinnati II 2 - 0 - 2 Columbus Crew II. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished FC Cincinnati II 0:1 Columbus Crew II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati II and Columbus Crew II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches FC Cincinnati II won 2, Columbus Crew II won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II?
FC Cincinnati II score 1.00 goals per game on average and Columbus Crew II 1.79. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 42% of FC Cincinnati II's matches and 79% of Columbus Crew II's.
What form are FC Cincinnati II and Columbus Crew II in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati II have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Columbus Crew II 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II?
The statistical background for FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.