FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami: match statistics
FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cincinnati played Inter Miami in MLS (United States). The match was played on 13 May 2026. Final score: 3:5.
Current form
FC Cincinnati: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Inter Miami: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cincinnati scores 2.00 and concedes 2.25 goals per match. Inter Miami scores 2.17 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cincinnati 67%, Inter Miami 75%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati 58%, Inter Miami 75%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.52. FC Cincinnati: 13.8 shots per match, Inter Miami: 15.8.
Match halves
FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.08. Inter Miami: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (10 goals). Inter Miami: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Miami have a season record of 6 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses with 26 goals scored, while FC Cincinnati have 4 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses with 24 goals, giving the visitors a slight edge in points. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 14 goals (2.8 per game) and Inter scored 13 (2.6), however FC Cincinnati produces higher home xG at 1.63 versus Inter’s 1.43 on the road. Cincinnati registers more shots per game at home (15.6) with 5.4 on target, while Inter averages 12.63 shots and 5.38 on target, but the visitors have better finishing efficiency 18% versus the hosts’ 14%. Defensively the teams are similar — the hosts concede 1.4 goals per home match, the visitors 1.5 away — although Cincinnati keep more clean sheets (40% vs 25%). Considering Inter’s higher away win rate (75% vs 60%), superior shot efficiency and higher average points in the last 5 matches (2.0 vs 1.8), I favour a narrow away victory and propose a probability split of 30% home / 25% draw / 45% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS (Both Teams To Score) scenario is clearly more likely: FC Cincinnati has a season BTTS of 100% (all matches), Inter Miami 63%, and in the last 5 meetings both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of games. Both sides regularly score — average goals per game are 2.0 for Cincinnati and 2.25 for Miami, and in the last 5 matches these teams averaged 2.8 and 2.6 respectively; simultaneously Cincinnati concedes an average of 2.25 goals per game, which favors a BTTS outcome. xG comparison shows season xG_for for Cincinnati at 2.48 versus Inter Miami xG_against 1.36 (difference +1.12), and Miami xG_for 1.43 versus Cincinnati xG_against 1.26 (difference +0.17), meaning both teams generate sufficient expected goal opportunities. Additionally Cincinnati has 0% clean sheets this season, Miami 25% clean sheets, and both teams have over 2.5 goals in 75% of matches, which reduces the likelihood of a no-goal outcome for either side. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at approximately 85% vs 15% and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Data point to high goal potential: FC Cincinnati scores an average of 2.0 goals per match with xG 2.48, while Inter Miami scores 2.25 goals with xG 1.43; the home side averages 22.0 shots (8.75 on target) versus the visitors’ 12.63 (5.38 on target), which favors many chances. Season indicators show Cincinnati has 100% of matches over 1.5, 75% over 2.5 and 75% over 3.5, while Inter has 88% over 1.5, 75% over 2.5 and 50% over 3.5; additionally BTTS is 100% for the hosts and 63% for the visitors. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored an average of 2.8 goals, the visitors 2.6, and the over 2.5 rate in the last 5 is 80% for Cincinnati and 60% for Inter, reinforcing the expectation of a high-scoring game. Calculated by averaging two methods (xG and goal averages): for the hosts ((2.48+1.36)/2=1.92 and (2.0+1.5)/2=1.75) gives 1.84 expected goals, for the visitors ((1.43+1.26)/2=1.345 and (2.25+2.25)/2=2.25) gives 1.80; total expected goals 3.64. Therefore the strongest signal is a play on Over 1.5 (probability ~96%), with strong support for Over 2.5 (~78%) and moderate support for Over 3.5 (~63%), hence an Over-side recommendation at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict a Half-Time/Full-Time outcome of draw at the break and Inter Miami to win (X/2): the hosts were level at half-time in 75% of their home matches, while Inter Miami has a 75% win rate in the available statistics, which favors the visitors late on. The visitors average 1.5 goals after the break versus 0.75 for the hosts, so the goal advantage most often materializes in the second half. Cincinnati generates more xG (2.48) and 22 shots per game, but has a low conversion rate of 9% with an average of 8.75 shots on target, whereas Inter Miami converts at 18% on xG 1.43, making them more efficient in finishing chances. Additionally, the hosts’ home games end with both teams scoring in 100% of cases, but Inter Miami keep a clean sheet at half-time in 63% of matches and led at the break in 60% of their last five games, increasing the likelihood of a safe start and a turnaround victory for the visitors after the interval.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Miami is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 2 pts / match - Inter Miami
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 2.17 goals / match - Inter Miami
Inter Miami is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.25 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.75 goals / match - Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
Inter Miami scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
Over / Under - Inter Miami
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Miami is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.5 pts / match - Inter Miami
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati | Liga | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 3.20 | ▲ 3.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 23% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 79% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 3:5 Inter Miami. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
FC Cincinnati score 2.00 goals per game on average and Inter Miami 2.17. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 75% of Inter Miami's.
What form are FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Inter Miami 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
The statistical background for FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.