FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cincinnati play New England Revolution in MLS (United States). The match date is 14 October 2026. Venue: TQL Stadium.
Current form
FC Cincinnati: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. New England Revolution: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cincinnati scores 2.15 and concedes 2.41 goals per match. New England Revolution scores 1.61 and concedes 1.39. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cincinnati 78%, New England Revolution 61%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati 74%, New England Revolution 71%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.51. FC Cincinnati: 14.6 shots per match, New England Revolution: 12.5.
Match halves
FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.26. New England Revolution: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (21 goals). New England Revolution: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati | New England Revolution | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New England Revolution is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.8 pts / match - New England Revolution
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
2.15 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.61 goals / match - New England Revolution
New England Revolution is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.41 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.39 goals / match - New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while New England Revolution keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
New England Revolution scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
Over / Under - New England Revolution
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New England Revolution is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.29 pts / match - New England Revolution
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New England Revolution - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati | Liga | New England Revolution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.56 | 3.26 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 20% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 82% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 - 1 New England Revolution. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution play?
FC Cincinnati face New England Revolution on 14 October 2026 in MLS at TQL Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
FC Cincinnati score 2.15 goals per game on average and New England Revolution 1.61. The MLS average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 78% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 61% of New England Revolution's.
What form are FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and New England Revolution 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.