FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City: match statistics
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cincinnati played Orlando City in MLS (United States). The match was played on 23 May 2026. Venue: TQL Stadium. Final score: 6:2.
Current form
FC Cincinnati: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Orlando City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cincinnati scores 2.14 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Orlando City scores 1.50 and concedes 2.71. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cincinnati 71%, Orlando City 64%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati 64%, Orlando City 71%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.22. FC Cincinnati: 13.1 shots per match, Orlando City: 10.6.
Match halves
FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.21. Orlando City: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (11 goals). Orlando City: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is FC Cincinnati: at home they score an average of 2.33 goals per game and win 50% of home matches, while Orlando City averages 1.00 goal on the road and wins only 14% of away fixtures. Cincinnati’s attack generates more opportunities: on average 14.67 shots and 5 on target per game with a 16% conversion rate, versus 8.43 shots, 3.71 on target and 12% conversion for Orlando; the home side’s average xG in home matches is 1.55 compared to 1.04 xG for the visitors away. Orlando’s defense on the road is vulnerable to conceding — they concede an average of 3.57 goals away, have 0% clean sheets and an average xG against of 2.10, while Cincinnati concedes 2.00 goals at home and records 33% clean sheets. Both teams scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, but Orlando has a better points return in that run (2.0 points per game with 3 wins) versus Cincinnati (1.6 points per game). Considering the home advantage in chance creation and conversion (14.67 vs 8.43 shots, 5 vs 3.71 on target, 16% vs 12%) and the visitors’ poor defensive form away (3.57 goals conceded, 57% matches without scoring, 71% away defeats), I assign higher probability to the hosts to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because FC Cincinnati has a season-long home BTTS rate of 86%, and although Orlando has 43% on the road, both teams have produced BTTS in 80% of their last 5 meetings. Cincinnati averages 2.0 goals per game (xG 1.4), averaging 12.71 shots with 5.0 on target, while Orlando concedes 3.57 goals per game with xG against of 2.1, indicating the hosts will create chances and the opponent routinely leaks them. In the last 5 matches both sides have scored 13 goals each (2.6 per game) and conceded on average 2.4 (Cincinnati) and 2.0 (Orlando), meaning both teams’ games have been highly goal-laden recently. Additionally, both teams have 0% clean sheets this season and the league average BTTS is 61%, so the Both Teams To Score signal is stronger and I assign an 80% probability to Yes versus 20% to No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
FC Cincinnati at home scores on average 2.0 goals per game (xG 1.40) and concedes 1.86, while Orlando City away averages 1.0 goals scored (xG 1.04) and concedes as many as 3.57. Combining attackers' xG and opponent defensive xG yields: home side (1.40+2.10)/2 = 1.75 xG, visitors (1.04+2.08)/2 = 1.56 xG, totaling 3.31 expected goals. Season-long indicators confirm a propensity for goals: Over 1.5 occurred in 86% of Cincinnati’s matches and 100% of Orlando’s, while Over 2.5 stands at 71% for both teams. In the last 5 matches each side scored 13 goals (2.6 per game on average), and Cincinnati has an 80% Over 2.5 rate in those five fixtures, which further supports a contest with at least 2–3 goals. Based on this, I recommend staking Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (high probability 95%) and maintain Over 2.5 as a likely direction (75%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back FC Cincinnati to lead at the break and win the match (1/1). Hosts led at half in 4 of 7 games (57%), showing first-half dominance. At half Cincinnati averages 1.14 goals while Orlando City averages only 0.29 and concedes on average 2.0 goals before the break, giving the hosts a clear first-half edge. Over 90 minutes the hosts score 2.0 goals on average with xG 1.4, 5.0 shots on target and a 16% conversion rate, whereas Orlando posts xG 1.04, 3.71 shots on target and a 12% conversion, and concede 3.57 goals per match; these metrics support a home victory. Additionally, Cincinnati’s home matches feature both teams scoring in 86% of cases, indicating offensive activity on both sides, but the hosts’ superior attacking quality and efficiency suggest they will retain the lead. Based on these figures I rate the 1/1 scenario as the strongest (34% probability), with alternatives 1/X (17%) and X/1 (12%) considered secondary.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Cincinnati is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.4 pts / match - Orlando City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
2.14 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.5 goals / match - Orlando City
FC Cincinnati is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 2.71 goals / match - Orlando City
FC Cincinnati scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Orlando City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 14 matches).
Orlando City scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
Over / Under - Orlando City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Orlando City is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.29 pts / match - Orlando City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Orlando City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati | Liga | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.64 | 3.25 | ▲ 4.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 81% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City?
The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 6:2 Orlando City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City?
FC Cincinnati score 2.14 goals per game on average and Orlando City 1.50. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 71% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 64% of Orlando City's.
What form are FC Cincinnati and Orlando City in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Orlando City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.