FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders: match statistics

FC Cincinnati are significantly stronger at home, winning 67% of their matches and averaging 3.11 goals per game, while Seattle score just 0.70 goals away from home. The hosts average 15.78 shots, including 6.44 on target, compared with the visitors’ 11.4 attempts and 3.9 shots on target, while their conversion rate stands at an impressive 20%, compared with just 6% for Seattle. Cincinnati have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals in that span, whereas the Sounders have lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring only 5 goals. The hosts concede an average of 2.11 goals at home, so Seattle may be able to exploit the spaces, but their 30% of away matches without scoring limits their chances of an upset. Cincinnati’s superiority in chance creation, supported by an xG of 1.72 compared with Seattle’s 1.38 away from home, points to a home victory.

FC Cincinnati have strong foundations for scoring: they average 1.63 goals, rising to 2.20 across their last 5 matches, with an xG of 1.67. During this period, Seattle conceded an average of 1.80 goals, while their average xG conceded increased to a very high 2.51, so the hosts should create plenty of chances. The signal is less clear for the visitors, as they score only 0.70 goals per game this season and failed to score in 30% of their matches. However, Cincinnati have kept a clean sheet in just 13% of their games and concede an average of 1.75 goals, meaning Seattle should be able to exploit the hosts’ defensive gaps. BTTS - Yes occurred in 80% of Cincinnati’s last five matches, compared with the league average of 62%, so the scenario of both teams scoring holds a moderate edge.

FC Cincinnati have averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Seattle have conceded 1.8 goals per game during this period, with an exceptionally high xG against them of 2.51. The hosts are also creating chances consistently: their average xG stands at 1.70, with 14.5 shots and 5.63 shots on target per match, while Seattle’s defence allows an average of 1.63 xG. Seattle score just 0.70 goals per game this season, but their poor finishing does not rule out a goal against a Cincinnati defence that concedes 1.75 goals on average and keeps a clean sheet in just 13% of matches. The 1.5 line has the strongest coverage: at least 2 goals were scored in all of Cincinnati’s matches and in 40% of Seattle’s games, while the current form of both teams further raises the projection to 2.95 goals. Over 2.5 is also possible, but Seattle’s season profile—with 70% of matches finishing below this line—makes Over 1.5 clearly the safer choice.

FC Cincinnati are in clearly better form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding just 1.2, while Seattle have lost 4 of their last 5 games, conceding an average of 1.8 goals. The hosts were leading at the break in 4 of their last 5 appearances, scoring an average of 1.2 goals before half-time and allowing their opponents just 0.4. Seattle score only 0.7 goals per away match on average, while their shot conversion rate stands at 6%, compared with 11% for Cincinnati. The hosts’ advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created: their average xG is 1.70, while Seattle’s opponents average 1.63 xG. The scenario of Cincinnati leading at half-time and maintaining their winning position is therefore the strongest-supported HT/FT outcome, backed by both their current form and their attacking superiority.