United States - MLSData current as of 12 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto: match statistics

FC Cincinnati crest
FC Cincinnati
0 : 1half-time 0:0
Toronto crest
Toronto
165%(1.79)
X20%(3.61)
215%(4.20)

FC Cincinnati displays significantly better form and home statistics, winning 100% of their home matches this season with an average score of 2:0. The hosts boast excellent defensive efficiency, keeping a clean sheet in all home games, while Toronto has failed to win any away match and concedes an average of 3 goals per game. The visitors' form is alarming – a streak of two consecutive away defeats and only 0.8 points per match in their last five outings. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.23 vs 1.06), and the difference in possession (54% vs 48%) and shot accuracy (18% vs 12%) further confirms FC Cincinnati's dominance. All indicators point to a comfortable victory for the hosts in front of their home crowd.

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

FC Cincinnati played Toronto in MLS (United States). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

FC Cincinnati: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Toronto: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

FC Cincinnati scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Toronto scores 1.00 and concedes 3.00. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: FC Cincinnati 0%, Toronto 50%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati 0%, Toronto 100%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.07. FC Cincinnati: 12.0 shots per match, Toronto: 8.5.

Match halves

FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Toronto: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (2 goals). Toronto: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

FC Cincinnati displays significantly better form and home statistics, winning 100% of their home matches this season with an average score of 2:0. The hosts boast excellent defensive efficiency, keeping a clean sheet in all home games, while Toronto has failed to win any away match and concedes an average of 3 goals per game. The visitors' form is alarming – a streak of two consecutive away defeats and only 0.8 points per match in their last five outings. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.23 vs 1.06), and the difference in possession (54% vs 48%) and shot accuracy (18% vs 12%) further confirms FC Cincinnati's dominance. All indicators point to a comfortable victory for the hosts in front of their home crowd.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
FC CincinnatiToronto
14Shots11
FC CincinnatiToronto
2Shots on target5
FC CincinnatiToronto
1.17xG1.27
FC CincinnatiToronto
8Corners7
FC CincinnatiToronto
18Dangerous attacks30
FC CincinnatiToronto
14Fouls11
FC CincinnatiToronto
2Cards2
FC CincinnatiToronto

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1
FC CincinnatiToronto
0.5Goals conceded / match3
FC CincinnatiToronto
55%Average possession48%
FC CincinnatiToronto
3.5Shots on target / match3.5
FC CincinnatiToronto

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match8.5
FC CincinnatiToronto
3.5Shots on target3.5
FC CincinnatiToronto
8.3%Shot conversion11.8%
FC CincinnatiToronto
55%Possession48%
FC CincinnatiToronto
1.4xG for1.07
FC CincinnatiToronto
1.27xG against1.38
FC CincinnatiToronto

Shooting quality

FC Cincinnati: BalancedToronto: Balanced
FC CincinnatiToronto
Accuracy (shots on target)29%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

FC Cincinnati
WL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Toronto
LL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% D100% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

FC Cincinnati is 500% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.5 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 3 goals / match - Toronto

FC Cincinnati scoring profile: very strong

FC Cincinnati scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

Toronto scoring profile: mixed

Toronto scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

2Goals scored (season)2
FC CincinnatiToronto
1Goals conceded (season)6
FC CincinnatiToronto
1.5Average goals in match4
FC CincinnatiToronto
2Goals scored (last 5)2
FC CincinnatiToronto
1Goals conceded (last 5)6
FC CincinnatiToronto

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
FC CincinnatiToronto
50%2 goals50%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%3 goals0%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%4 goals0%
FC CincinnatiToronto

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal100%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%2 goals100%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%3 goals100%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%4 goals0%
FC CincinnatiToronto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time50%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%BTTS in both halves50%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%Scored in both halves50%
FC CincinnatiToronto

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS50%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%BTTS - last 550%
FC CincinnatiToronto

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time100%
FC CincinnatiToronto

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
FC CincinnatiToronto
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
FC CincinnatiToronto
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
FC CincinnatiToronto

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

FC Cincinnati - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Toronto - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0
FC CincinnatiToronto
0Goals scored (1st half)0.5
FC CincinnatiToronto
0Goals conceded (1st half)2.5
FC CincinnatiToronto
0Average goals (1st half)3
FC CincinnatiToronto
100%Clean sheet before half-time0%
FC CincinnatiToronto
100%No goal before half-time50%
FC CincinnatiToronto

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1
FC CincinnatiToronto
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
FC CincinnatiToronto
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
FC CincinnatiToronto
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1
FC CincinnatiToronto
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
FC CincinnatiToronto
50%No goal after half-time50%
FC CincinnatiToronto

FC Cincinnati - second-half results

50% W0% D50% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Toronto - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
0
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-2.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

FC Cincinnati - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.50
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.5
Average goals in match0.01.5
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Toronto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.001.00
Goals scored / match0.50.5
Goals conceded / match2.50.5
Average goals in match3.01.0
1 goal100%50%
2 goals100%50%
3 goals100%0%
Clean sheet0%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

FC Cincinnati
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Toronto
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
3
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

FC Cincinnati

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.77
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

Toronto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
163%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

FC CincinnatiLigaToronto
Average goals in match 1.502.79 4.00
Both teams scored 0%42% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%56% 100%
Clean sheets 50%31% 0%
Goal before half-time 0%72% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%86% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
42%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / match
0.95
Away goals / match
+94%
Home attack advantage
+48%
Home defence advantage
+34%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. FC CincinnatiYellow cardEnder Jesús Echenique Peña
  2. FC CincinnatiYellow cardNick Hagglund
  3. TorontoSubstitutionOn: Alonso Coello CamareroOff: Djordje Mihailovic
  4. FC CincinnatiSubstitutionOn: Kenji Mboma DemOff: Bryan Josías Ramírez León

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs Toronto?

The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 0:1 Toronto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs Toronto?

FC Cincinnati score 1.00 goals per game on average and Toronto 1.00. The MLS average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 0% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 50% of Toronto's.

What form are FC Cincinnati and Toronto in?

Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Toronto 0-0-2 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs Toronto?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.