FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers: match statistics

FC Dallas have a clearly stronger home profile, averaging 2.2 goals per match, compared with Portland Timbers’ 1.36 away goals per game. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals in that run, while the visitors have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over the same period, with 11 goals scored. Portland have lost as many as 64% of their away matches, have kept no clean sheets and allow opponents chances worth an average of 2.21 xG, which favors Dallas’ attacking efficiency. Dallas also have defensive issues, conceding 1.9 goals per home match and keeping a clean sheet in only 10% of their appearances, making a goal for the visitors a realistic scenario. The hosts’ superior conversion rate—18% compared with Portland’s 11%—and significantly stronger home results support a Dallas victory.

The signal for goals from both sides is very strong: FC Dallas recorded BTTS in 92% of their matches this season, while Portland did so in 64%, compared with the league average of 63%. In their last five matches, Portland registered BTTS in 100% of cases and Dallas in 80%, with the teams scoring an average of 2.2 and 2.8 goals respectively. Both defenses regularly allow opponents to create chances: Dallas conceded 3.0 goals per match recently, Portland 2.0, while their average xG against stands at 1.83 and 2.02 respectively. Portland have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches this season, while Dallas have done so in only 8% of games, significantly increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. The hosts are particularly dangerous in attack, averaging 2.42 goals and 5.08 shots on target per match, while the visitors should be able to exploit Dallas's defensive weaknesses despite their lower shooting efficiency. This strongly supports the BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal market, rather than BTTS - No, which means that at least one team fails to score—not necessarily a 0:0 result or a match in which neither side scores.

The match profile clearly favors goals: FC Dallas average 2.42 goals scored, while Portland concede 1.91 goals per game. In their last five appearances, Dallas scored 14 and conceded 15 goals, while Portland recorded 11 goals scored and 10 conceded, presenting a very open profile for both teams. At least 2 goals were scored in 100% of the league matches involving each team, while the Over 2.5 goals line landed in 100% of Dallas’s last five matches and 80% of Portland’s. Additionally, Dallas’s average xG stands at 1.57, compared with 2.21 xG conceded by Portland, meaning the hosts should create a particularly high number of high-quality chances. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as even with a partial regression in finishing efficiency, the expected 3.65 goals provide this line with a very high margin of safety.

FC Dallas has a clearly stronger home record: they win 58% of their matches and score an average of 2.42 goals, while Portland lose as many as 64% of their away games and concede 1.91 goals per match. The hosts also create higher-quality chances in the opposition half, with an xG of 1.57 compared with Portland’s 1.41, and average 5.08 shots on target versus 4.09 for the visitors. The signal for Dallas to lead at the break is further strengthened by the fact that Portland were behind at half-time in 55% of their away matches, while the hosts score an average of 1.17 goals before the interval. Dallas are particularly dangerous after the break, scoring an average of 1.25 goals and losing the second half in only 8% of matches, which favours them maintaining or extending their advantage. However, both defences are prone to conceding, so the draw-at-half-time and home-win-at-full-time scenarios remain significant, although the highest-rated outcome is 1/1.