FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake: match statistics
FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Dallas played Real Salt Lake in MLS (United States). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
FC Dallas: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Real Salt Lake: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Dallas scores 1.82 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Real Salt Lake scores 1.90 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Dallas 55%, Real Salt Lake 70%. Over 2.5: FC Dallas 55%, Real Salt Lake 70%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Real Salt Lake has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.47. FC Dallas: 13.1 shots per match, Real Salt Lake: 16.9.
Match halves
FC Dallas: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91. Real Salt Lake: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
FC Dallas: 31-45+ (5 goals). Real Salt Lake: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Salt Lake holds the edge in attack and form: the visitors scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 points per game over that span, while FC Dallas has 6 goals and 1.0 points per game in the last 5. Away, RSL generates more chances (14.25 shots overall and 5.5 shots on target per match) and a higher xG of 1.52, whereas Dallas at home averages 12.86 shots overall and 4.14 on target with an xG of 1.41. Dallas, however, has the better defense by expected goals against — 1.07 xG against at home versus 1.65 for RSL — and a higher home finishing rate (14% conversion vs 11% for the visitors), scoring on average 1.86 goals per home game. Additionally, the hosts have a high draw rate in home matches (57%), which increases the likelihood of a shared point, but Real Salt Lake has kept 0% clean sheets on the road and nonetheless scored 10 goals in their last five fixtures. Considering RSL’s 10 goals in the last 5, their advantage in shot volume and higher xG, I predict an away win; suggested probabilities are 25% home, 30% draw and 45% Real Salt Lake win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high season BTTS rates: FC Dallas 67% and Real Salt Lake 75%, averaging 71%, well above the league average of 57%. Real Salt Lake has not recorded a single clean sheet this season (0% clean sheets), while FC Dallas has only 17% clean sheets, so both sides regularly concede goals. In terms of chance creation Dallas posts xG 2.09 and averages 2.17 goals scored per game, RSL has xG 1.52 and 1.50 goals per game; combined xG 3.61 and combined goals average 3.67 suggest a Goal/Goal match. In the last 5 games both teams had BTTS in 60% of matches and averaged 1.2 (Dallas) and 2.0 (RSL) goals scored, with average goals conceded 1.2 and 1.4 respectively, which confirms offensive and porous setups on both sides. Therefore the best pick is BTTS - Yes — I assess the probability of BTTS at 75% versus 25% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.87 goals for FC Dallas and 1.42 for Real Salt Lake (total 3.29), calculated as the average of home attack xG 2.09 and away defense xG 1.65, and away attack xG 1.52 and home defense xG 1.32. FC Dallas averages 2.17 goals per game with 8.0 shots on target, Real Salt Lake averages 1.5 goals with 5.5 shots on target; conversion rates are 12% vs 11%. Seasonal percentages for Over 2.5 are 67% for Dallas and 75% for RSL, and the league average is 3.18 goals per game, which supports an Over 2.5 scenario. Over 1.5 is the strongest signal (Dallas 100% of games Over 1.5, RSL 75%), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the safest and most probable option; Over 3.5 is less likely (home 33%, away 50% -> approx. 38% probability).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics clearly favor FC Dallas: average goals 2.17 versus 1.50 for Real Salt Lake and xG 2.09 versus 1.52, with the hosts averaging 8.0 shots on target compared to the visitors’ 5.5. Dallas led at the break in 4 matches (67%) and scores an average of 1.5 goals by half-time while conceding only 0.33, whereas RSL records 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded by half-time. The season home-win rate is 83% versus 25% for the away side, which together with the higher xG and superiority in shots on target supports a Dallas lead at the break and full-time victory. It is important to note, however, that in the last 5 matches Dallas has only a 20% win rate while RSL has 60%, which reduces confidence in the forecast and increases the likelihood of draw or turnaround scenarios. For these reasons my strongest signal is 1/1 (Dallas leads at HT and wins FT), while I allow a moderate chance for scenarios with a half-time draw or a late turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Dallas | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Salt Lake is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - FC Dallas · 1.8 pts / match - Real Salt Lake
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Dallas scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Real Salt Lake keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
Real Salt Lake scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while FC Dallas keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Dallas
Over / Under - Real Salt Lake
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Salt Lake is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - FC Dallas · 2 pts / match - Real Salt Lake
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Dallas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Real Salt Lake - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Dallas | Liga | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.18 | 3.20 | • 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 23% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 79% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?
The MLS match finished FC Dallas 3:1 Real Salt Lake. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?
FC Dallas score 1.82 goals per game on average and Real Salt Lake 1.90. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 55% of FC Dallas's matches and 70% of Real Salt Lake's.
What form are FC Dallas and Real Salt Lake in?
Over the last 5 games FC Dallas have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Real Salt Lake 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


