FC Seoul vs Bucheon 1995: match statistics
FC Seoul vs Bucheon 1995: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Seoul played Bucheon 1995 in K League 1 (South Korea). The match was played on 21 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
FC Seoul: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bucheon 1995: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Seoul scores 2.00 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Bucheon 1995 scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Seoul 50%, Bucheon 1995 50%. Over 2.5: FC Seoul 50%, Bucheon 1995 38%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
FC Seoul has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.19. FC Seoul: 11.8 shots per match, Bucheon 1995: 9.5.
Match halves
FC Seoul: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.25. Bucheon 1995: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
FC Seoul: 46-60 (5 goals). Bucheon 1995: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 1: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FC Seoul are the clear favourites — they hold a 6-1-1 record this season and sit 1st, while Bucheon 1995 are 2-4-2 and 6th. Offensively the hosts are more efficient: FC Seoul average 2.0 goals per home match (16 goals this season, 11 in the last 5), versus Bucheon’s 1.0 on the road (8 goals this season, 3 in the last 5); the hosts’ shot conversion rate is 20% against 13% for the visitors. Defensively the edge is also with the hosts — FC Seoul concede only 0.33 goals per home match and have 67% clean sheets, while Bucheon concede 0.75 on the road and have 50% clean sheets. Chance-creation quality metrics confirm the advantage: average home xG for FC Seoul is 1.38 with 4.67 shots on target, while Bucheon’s away xG is 1.01 with 2.0 shots on target, indicating more and better opportunities for the hosts. Considering last 5 matches’ points per game (hosts 2.0 vs visitors 1.2), higher efficiency and greater possession (52% vs 47%), I predict an FC Seoul win; estimated probabilities are ~70% home, 18% draw, 12% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the “No” (No BTTS) scenario: FC Seoul has a season BTTS rate of 75%, but Bucheon 1995 only 25%, and Bucheon’s BTTS in the last 5 matches is 20%, which weakens the probability of both teams scoring. The scoring form gap is significant — over the last five matches Seoul averaged 2.2 goals versus Bucheon’s 0.6, while season-long both teams average 1.0 goal per game. xG comparisons corroborate these observations: Seoul’s last5 xG is 1.33 versus xG against Bucheon 1.09, whereas Bucheon’s last5 xG_for is 1.06 versus xG against Seoul 1.41, reducing the visitors’ chances of scoring. Clean sheets and shot metrics are also key — Bucheon keeps a clean sheet in 50% of season matches versus Seoul’s 25%, and average shots on target are 3.0 for Seoul and 2.0 for Bucheon, which together favor a scenario where only the home side scores. Considering these figures and the league BTTS rate of 56%, I assign 35% to “Yes” (BTTS - Yes) and 65% to “No” (No Goal), recommending No BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I select Over 1.5 as the best line because xG-based expected goals are ~1.25 for FC Seoul (attacking xG 1.20 and xG conceded by Bucheon 1.29 average to 1.25) and ~1.20 for Bucheon (attacking xG 1.01 and xG conceded by FC Seoul 1.38 ≈1.20), totalling ~2.45 goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.45 yields probability of Over 1.5 ≈70% (P≤1 ≈29.7%), while probability of Over 2.5 is only ≈44%. Additionally, in the last 5 matches FC Seoul scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) and averages 3.0 shots on target per game versus Bucheon’s 2.0, increasing the hosts’ chance to score. Seasonal figures support this: 75% of home matches finished Over 1.5, while only 25% of away matches did, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Both teams very frequently draw at half-time: the drawingAtHTPercentage is 75.0% for FC Seoul and 75.0% for Bucheon, indicating a high share of draws at the break. Despite this, FC Seoul shows better form in the last 5 matches – 60.0% wins (3 of 5) and an average of 2.0 points per game, while Bucheon has 20.0% wins (1 of 5) and 1.2 points per game. The home side also has clearly superior attacking metrics: xG 1.20 versus 1.01 for the visitors and an average of 3.0 shots on target compared to 2.0 for Bucheon, and in second halves over the last 5 matches FC Seoul scores an average of 1.2 goals. On this basis the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a home comeback to win (X/1), which is why this outcome has been assigned the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Seoul | Bucheon 1995 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Seoul is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - FC Seoul · 1.2 pts / match - Bucheon 1995
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Seoul is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - FC Seoul · 1 goals / match - Bucheon 1995
FC Seoul is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.63 goals / match - FC Seoul · 1 goals / match - Bucheon 1995
FC Seoul scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Bucheon 1995 keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Bucheon 1995 scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while FC Seoul keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Seoul
Over / Under - Bucheon 1995
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FC Seoul is 151% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - FC Seoul · 0.75 pts / match - Bucheon 1995
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Seoul - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bucheon 1995 - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Seoul
Bucheon 1995
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).
Teams vs league
| FC Seoul | Liga | Bucheon 1995 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.21 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Seoul vs Bucheon 1995?
The K League 1 match finished FC Seoul 3:0 Bucheon 1995. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Seoul vs Bucheon 1995?
FC Seoul score 2.00 goals per game on average and Bucheon 1995 1.00. The K League 1 average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of FC Seoul's matches and 50% of Bucheon 1995's.
What form are FC Seoul and Bucheon 1995 in?
Over the last 5 games FC Seoul have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bucheon 1995 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Seoul vs Bucheon 1995?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.