Fenerbahçe vs Rizespor: match statistics
Fenerbahçe vs Rizespor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fenerbahçe played Rizespor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Fenerbahçe: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Rizespor: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fenerbahçe scores 2.28 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Rizespor scores 1.34 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fenerbahçe 62%, Rizespor 55%. Over 2.5: Fenerbahçe 59%, Rizespor 55%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Fenerbahçe has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.36. Fenerbahçe: 17.3 shots per match, Rizespor: 12.9.
Match halves
Fenerbahçe: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.24. Rizespor: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Fenerbahçe: 76-90+ (16 goals). Rizespor: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fenerbahçe has a clear advantage at home: they average 2.29 goals per home match with an xG of 2.19 and 19.86 shots per game, 7 of which are on target, while Rizespor averages 1.43 goals away with an xG of 1.26 on 11.79 shots and 3.71 on target. The hosts concede 0.93 goals at home versus 1.5 conceded by the visitors away, and clean sheet percentage is 29% for Fenerbahçe versus 14% for Rizespor, confirming the hosts' defensive edge. Fenerbahçe win 71% of home matches and have not lost at home this season (0% defeats), whereas Rizespor win only 14% of their away games and draw as many as 50%, which limits their winning potential. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 12 goals and won 4 of 5, averaging 2.4 points per game, while the visitors scored 8 goals and have 3 wins in their last 5, averaging 1.8 points per game, so form and efficiency favor Fenerbahçe. Considering the possession advantage (63% vs 49%), higher xG (2.19 vs 1.26) and significantly more shots on target (7 vs 3.71), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The primary signal for BTTS is the very high away incidence of both teams scoring: Rizespor has 71% of matches with Goal/Goal versus 40% for Fenerbahçe, against a league average of 55%. Additionally, Rizespor keeps a clean sheet in only 14% of fixtures, while Fenerbahçe records clean sheets in 40% of games, indicating the visitors are far more likely to concede. xG shows similar levels of creation and vulnerability: xG_for 1.44 for Fenerbahçe versus 1.26 for Rizespor, and xG_against at 1.48 and 1.54 respectively, meaning both teams generate and concede around 1.4–1.5 expected goals per match. Form over the last 5 matches confirms this picture: Fenerbahçe scored 12 goals in 5 matches (2.4 avg) and conceded 5 (1.0), Rizespor scored 8 and also conceded 5, suggesting both sides have been regularly allowing goals recently. On this basis I assign a 66% probability to BTTS - Yes and 34% to No, since Rizespor’s high 71% and the roughly 1.0 concessions in the last 5 matches outweigh Fenerbahçe’s higher clean sheet rate (40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated xG using attack and defense averages is (1.44 + 1.54)/2 = 1.49 for Fenerbahçe and (1.26 + 1.48)/2 = 1.37 for Rizespor, yielding an expected total of 2.86 goals, above the league average of 2.62. Seasonal indicators confirm a goal-prone trend: Over 0.5 occurred in 93% of matches for both teams, Over 1.5 in 67% (Fener) and 79% (Rizespor), and Over 2.5 in 53% and 57%. In the last 5 matches Fenerbahçe scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) and conceded 5, Rizespor scored 8 goals (1.6) and conceded 5; recent xG is 1.83 (Fener) and 1.55 (Rizespor), sum 3.38, which strengthens the case for goals. Given the expected total of 2.86 and strong seasonal Over 1.5 rates (67%/79%), the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I estimate 88%), Over 2.5 I assess at 63%, and Over 3.5 at 27% — I recommend playing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (home team leads at half-time and wins the match). Fenerbahçe scores an average of 0.6 goals by half-time and concedes 0.33 (scoredAVGHT_home 0.6, concededAVGHT_home 0.33), and 73% of their matches are clean sheets at the break, which favors having the lead at half-time. Rizespor averages 0.57 goals scored and 0.71 conceded by half-time (scoredAVGHT_away 0.57, concededAVGHT_away 0.71) and has only 14% wins this season, so they rarely produce a turnaround. Fener additionally generates higher xG 1.44 versus 1.26 and averages 13.87 shots with 4.13 on target compared to Rizespor’s 11.79 and 3.71, and in the last 5 matches the hosts have averaged 2.4 goals, increasing the likelihood of maintaining the lead and securing the win. In light of these figures I assign a 48% probability to the 1/1 scenario, while the strongest alternative is a Half-Time draw and Full-Time home win (18%), whereas an away win is unlikely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fenerbahçe | Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fenerbahçe is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Fenerbahçe · 1.8 pts / match - Rizespor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fenerbahçe is 70% better for: goals scored per match.
2.28 goals / match - Fenerbahçe · 1.34 goals / match - Rizespor
Fenerbahçe is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Fenerbahçe · 1.38 goals / match - Rizespor
Fenerbahçe scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Rizespor keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
Rizespor scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Fenerbahçe keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fenerbahçe
Over / Under - Rizespor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fenerbahçe is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Fenerbahçe · 1.28 pts / match - Rizespor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fenerbahçe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rizespor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fenerbahçe
Rizespor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Fenerbahçe | Liga | Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.24 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 55% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 28% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fenerbahçe 1 - 0 - 0 Rizespor. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fenerbahçe vs Rizespor?
The Süper Lig match finished Fenerbahçe 2:2 Rizespor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fenerbahçe vs Rizespor?
Fenerbahçe score 2.28 goals per game on average and Rizespor 1.34. The Süper Lig average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Fenerbahçe's matches and 55% of Rizespor's.
What form are Fenerbahçe and Rizespor in?
Over the last 5 games Fenerbahçe have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Rizespor 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fenerbahçe vs Rizespor?
The statistical background for Fenerbahçe vs Rizespor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.