Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor: match statistics
Fenerbahçe demonstrates a clear advantage as the home side, being unbeaten this season (15 wins, 9 draws, 0 losses) and occupying 2nd place in the table. The hosts boast impressive offensive statistics with 54 goals this season, averaging 2.18 goals per home match, a shot conversion rate of 10%, and dominant ball possession (64%). Samsunspor, despite good recent form (5 matches unbeaten), shows significantly weaker away statistics - only a 33% win rate on the road, lower expected goals (xG 1.23 vs Fenerbahçe's 2.31), and lower shot efficiency. The difference in quality of play, offensive potential, and goal difference (14 vs 1) clearly favors the home team. Considering all the data, Fenerbahçe should secure a comfortable win, although the guests' solid defense in recent matches (0 goals conceded) could make it a hard-fought victory.
Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fenerbahçe played Samsunspor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Fenerbahçe: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Samsunspor: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fenerbahçe scores 2.25 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Samsunspor scores 1.04 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fenerbahçe 67%, Samsunspor 54%. Over 2.5: Fenerbahçe 58%, Samsunspor 38%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Fenerbahçe has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.34. Fenerbahçe: 17.5 shots per match, Samsunspor: 12.7.
Match halves
Fenerbahçe: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.13. Samsunspor: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Fenerbahçe: 31-45+ (13 goals). Samsunspor: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fenerbahçe demonstrates a clear advantage as the home side, being unbeaten this season (15 wins, 9 draws, 0 losses) and occupying 2nd place in the table. The hosts boast impressive offensive statistics with 54 goals this season, averaging 2.18 goals per home match, a shot conversion rate of 10%, and dominant ball possession (64%). Samsunspor, despite good recent form (5 matches unbeaten), shows significantly weaker away statistics - only a 33% win rate on the road, lower expected goals (xG 1.23 vs Fenerbahçe's 2.31), and lower shot efficiency. The difference in quality of play, offensive potential, and goal difference (14 vs 1) clearly favors the home team. Considering all the data, Fenerbahçe should secure a comfortable win, although the guests' solid defense in recent matches (0 goals conceded) could make it a hard-fought victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fenerbahçe | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fenerbahçe is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Fenerbahçe · 1 pts / match - Samsunspor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fenerbahçe is 116% better for: goals scored per match.
2.25 goals / match - Fenerbahçe · 1.04 goals / match - Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.96 goals / match - Fenerbahçe · 1.13 goals / match - Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Samsunspor keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
Samsunspor scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Fenerbahçe keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fenerbahçe
Over / Under - Samsunspor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fenerbahçe is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Fenerbahçe · 1.21 pts / match - Samsunspor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fenerbahçe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Samsunspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fenerbahçe
Samsunspor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Fenerbahçe | Liga | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 50% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 67% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fenerbahçe 0 - 1 - 0 Samsunspor. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
The Süper Lig match finished Fenerbahçe 3:2 Samsunspor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
Fenerbahçe score 2.25 goals per game on average and Samsunspor 1.04. The Süper Lig average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Fenerbahçe's matches and 54% of Samsunspor's.
What form are Fenerbahçe and Samsunspor in?
Over the last 5 games Fenerbahçe have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Samsunspor 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
The statistical background for Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.