Fernando de la Mora vs Independiente FBC: match statistics
Fernando de la Mora vs Independiente FBC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fernando de la Mora played Independiente FBC in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 14 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Fernando de la Mora: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Independiente FBC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fernando de la Mora scores 0.67 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Independiente FBC scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fernando de la Mora 17%, Independiente FBC 33%. Over 2.5: Fernando de la Mora 17%, Independiente FBC 33%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Fernando de la Mora has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.39. Fernando de la Mora: 13.2 shots per match, Independiente FBC: 11.3.
Match halves
Fernando de la Mora: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Independiente FBC: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Fernando de la Mora: 76-90+ (2 goals). Independiente FBC: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente FBC is a narrow favorite, having scored 9 goals this season versus Fernando de la Mora’s 4 and displaying a much higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 2%). The visitors have been more consistent in recent form (avg. 2.0 points per game over the last five vs 1.8 for the hosts) and recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5, while the hosts have 3 wins and 2 losses. However, Fernando de la Mora generates more chances at home: on average 15.67 shots and 4.33 on target with xG 1.88, compared to the visitors’ 9.67 shots, 3.0 on target and xG 1.21, which highlights the hosts’ significant inefficiency (avg. 0.33 goals per home game and 67% of home matches without a goal). Defensively the hosts fare better in terms of goals conceded (1.0 at home vs Independiente’s 2.0 away), so I expect an even contest, but the visitors’ superior finishing and league position (4th vs 8th) give them a slight edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I prefer the NO scenario (BTTS - No), because the home side has an exceptionally strong defensive record: Fernando de la Mora’s clean sheet rate this season is 100%, and their BTTS percentage is 0%. Independiente FBC signals BTTS (away BTTS rate this season 67% and average away goals 1.33), but their BTTS involvement in the last 5 matches has dropped to 20%. In the last 5 matches the home team’s average xG is 1.66 versus 1.45 for the visitors, while average xG conceded is 1.30 vs 1.41, indicating moderate goal potential rather than a clear bias toward both teams scoring. Additionally, the home side averages 5.67 shots on target vs 3.0 for the visitors, with a seasonal goals scored average of 1.67 and seasonal goals conceded 0.0, which strengthens the clean sheet expected scenario. Considering the home team’s 100% clean sheets, 0% BTTS at home and the visitors’ BTTS drop to 20% over the last 5 matches, I assess the probability of BTTS NO at 75% and YES at 25%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on averaged xG I expect 1.53 xG for Fernando de la Mora and 1.23 xG for Independiente FBC, totaling 2.76 expected goals. That 2.76 exceeds the league average of 2.44 and both teams have 67% of matches this season with over 1.5 goals, which provides a strong signal for Over 1.5 (I assess 92%). The signal for Over 2.5 is moderate: the home side averages 13.0 shots and 5.67 on target, the visitors 9.67/3.0, but the edge above 2.5 is only 0.26 goals, hence Over 2.5 at 65%. Meanwhile Fernando has seasonOver25Percentage 0% versus 67% for Independiente and in the last 5 rounds the over 2.5 rate is only 20%, which limits the probability of Over 3.5 (I assess 25%, Under 75%). As a result the strongest signal is Over 1.5 due to the clear projected 2.76 goals and the high >1.5 match percentage (67% for both sides).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Fernando de la Mora scores on average 1.67 goals per match and concedes none (0.0), whereas Independiente FBC averages 1.33 goals scored and concedes 2.0 per match. At Half-Time the home side average 0.67 goals and are level in 67% of matches (2 of 3), leading at the break in 33% (1 of 3); the visitors average 1.33 goals by Half-Time and concede 1.67 before the break. Fernando scores on average 1.0 goal in the second half (AVG_2hg_home = 1.0) with a 100% clean-sheet rate this season in the first half, while the away side have AVG_2hg_away = 0.33, suggesting the turnaround comes after the break in favor of the hosts. Additionally, xG of 1.56 versus 1.21 and 5.67 shots on target versus 3.0 confirm the home advantage; therefore the safest scenario is a Half-Time draw and a Full-Time win for Fernando (X/1 ~47%), followed by the hosts leading at Half-Time and holding on to win (1/1 ~29%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fernando de la Mora | Independiente FBC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente FBC is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fernando de la Mora · 2 pts / match - Independiente FBC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente FBC is 124% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Fernando de la Mora · 1.5 goals / match - Independiente FBC
Fernando de la Mora scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).
Independiente FBC scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Fernando de la Mora keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fernando de la Mora
Over / Under - Independiente FBC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente FBC is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Fernando de la Mora · 1.17 pts / match - Independiente FBC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fernando de la Mora - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente FBC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fernando de la Mora
Independiente FBC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Fernando de la Mora | Liga | Independiente FBC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.39 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fernando de la Mora 1 - 0 - 1 Independiente FBC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fernando de la Mora vs Independiente FBC?
The Division Intermedia match finished Fernando de la Mora 1:1 Independiente FBC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fernando de la Mora and Independiente FBC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fernando de la Mora won 1, Independiente FBC won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fernando de la Mora vs Independiente FBC?
Fernando de la Mora score 0.67 goals per game on average and Independiente FBC 1.50. The Division Intermedia average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Fernando de la Mora's matches and 33% of Independiente FBC's.
What form are Fernando de la Mora and Independiente FBC in?
Over the last 5 games Fernando de la Mora have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Independiente FBC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fernando de la Mora vs Independiente FBC?
The statistical background for Fernando de la Mora vs Independiente FBC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.