Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguarí: match statistics
Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguarí: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fernando de la Mora played Paraguarí in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 10 July 2026. Venue: Estadio Emilio Ghezzi. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Fernando de la Mora: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Paraguarí: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fernando de la Mora scores 1.00 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Paraguarí scores 0.77 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fernando de la Mora 54%, Paraguarí 38%. Over 2.5: Fernando de la Mora 46%, Paraguarí 31%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Fernando de la Mora has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.45. Fernando de la Mora: 13.0 shots per match, Paraguarí: 10.5.
Match halves
Fernando de la Mora: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.69. Paraguarí: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Fernando de la Mora: 76-90+ (5 goals). Paraguarí: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fernando de la Mora holds a slight statistical edge: 4 wins this season versus Paraguarí’s 2, 13 goals scored versus 10, and 7 goals in the last 5 matches versus 5. Home side’s average xG of 1.68 versus 1.47 confirms superior chance creation. Over the last 5 fixtures the hosts average 0.8 points per game (form lllwd), while the visitors average only 0.4 points per game (form llddl) and have not achieved an away win this season (away win rate 0%). However, the hosts’ defense has dipped short-term—Fernando de la Mora conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per game) versus Paraguarí’s 8 conceded (1.6 per game), although season averages favor the hosts at 1.43 vs 1.67 goals conceded per game. The home team generates more shots (14.14 per game vs 11.67), records 3.43 shots on target per game versus 4 for the visitors, and posts higher xG, but Paraguarí are slightly more efficient with shots (6% conversion vs 5%) and failed to score in 50% of their away matches compared to 43% of the hosts’ matches without scoring, which can limit their chances. Considering the superior chance quality (xG 1.68 vs 1.47), more goals in the last 5 (7 vs 5) and Paraguarí’s lack of away wins, I back a home win, although the hosts’ defensive issues increase the probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - Yes is recent form: both Fernando de la Mora and Paraguarí have 80% BTTS in their last 5 matches. Season-to-date it's less clear — seasonal BTTS are 29% for the home side and 50% for the visitors, while the league average is 55% BTTS, so long-term data conflicts with current form. xG indicates chance creation and concession: seasonal xG_for is 1.43 vs 1.47, and xG_against 1.3 vs 1.4; in the last 5 matches xG_for rose to 1.63 and 1.71, and xG_against to 1.68 and 1.3, which increases the likelihood of goals from both teams. Additionally the home team conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per match) while the visitors conceded 8 (1.6), and Paraguarí averages 4.0 shots on target vs 3.0 for the hosts, so there is a real chance of a visiting goal; for these reasons I rate BTTS at 72% vs 28% and recommend the bet: Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining xG and actual finishing rates forecasts total expected goals of 1.75 — 1.03 for Fernando de la Mora and 0.72 for Paraguarí. Raw xG is 1.43 (home) and 1.47 (away), with xG conceded 1.30 and 1.40, yielding average xG 1.415/1.385 (sum 2.80), but season-long xG conversion (0.86/1.43=0.60 for home and 0.67/1.47=0.46 for away) scales this to ~0.85 and ~0.63 (sum 1.48). Over the last 5 matches conversion rates are higher (home 1.4/1.63=0.86, away 1.0/1.71=0.59), producing adjusted 1.22 and 0.81 (sum 2.03); averaging both approaches yielded the 1.03/0.72 forecast. Poisson distribution with total 1.75 gives Over 1.5 ≈52%, Over 2.5 ≈26% and Over 3.5 ≈10%, while season metrics show under 2.5 in 71% of home matches and 67% of away matches, therefore the strongest signal is Under 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal indicates a draw at half-time: hosts are level at the break in 86% of matches (drawingAtHT_home = 86.0), score on average 0.14 goals before half-time and concede none (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.14, concededAVGHT_home = 0.0), so HT is most often goalless. After the break hosts create more chances and score on average 0.71 goals in the second half, with 86% of their matches featuring goals after the interval (scored_2hg_avg_home = 0.71, over05_2hg_percentage_home = 86.0). The away side concedes 1.67 goals per match on average (seasonConcededAVG_away = 1.67) and have not yet recorded a win this season (winPercentage_away = 0.0), while xG comparison shows the home team is generating real chances (xg_for_avg_home = 1.43 vs xg_against_avg_away = 1.4). Additionally, visitors are trailing at half-time in 67% of their games (trailingAtHTPercentage_away = 67.0), so the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home turnaround to win the match (HT/FT: X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fernando de la Mora | Paraguarí | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fernando de la Mora is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Fernando de la Mora · 0.4 pts / match - Paraguarí
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fernando de la Mora is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Fernando de la Mora · 0.77 goals / match - Paraguarí
Paraguarí is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Fernando de la Mora · 1.23 goals / match - Paraguarí
Fernando de la Mora scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Paraguarí keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Paraguarí scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Fernando de la Mora keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fernando de la Mora
Over / Under - Paraguarí
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fernando de la Mora is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Fernando de la Mora · 0.85 pts / match - Paraguarí
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fernando de la Mora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paraguarí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fernando de la Mora
Paraguarí
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Fernando de la Mora | Liga | Paraguarí | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.54 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 55% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 44% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 26% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 65% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguarí?
The Division Intermedia match finished Fernando de la Mora 2:2 Paraguarí. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguarí?
Fernando de la Mora score 1.00 goals per game on average and Paraguarí 0.77. The Division Intermedia average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Fernando de la Mora's matches and 38% of Paraguarí's.
What form are Fernando de la Mora and Paraguarí in?
Over the last 5 games Fernando de la Mora have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Paraguarí 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguarí?
The statistical background for Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguarí — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.