FH vs Valur: match statistics
FH vs Valur: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FH played Valur in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 12 July 2026. Venue: Kaplakrikavöllur. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
FH: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Valur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
FH scores 1.38 and concedes 2.38 goals per match. Valur scores 1.71 and concedes 1.93. League average: 4.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FH 77%, Valur 71%. Over 2.5: FH 69%, Valur 71%. League level: BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 72%.
xG, shots and style
Valur has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.54. FH: 12.5 shots per match, Valur: 13.3.
Match halves
FH: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. Valur: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
FH: 31-45+ (6 goals). Valur: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.08 goals per match, BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 72%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw. FH scores on average 1.33 goals per home match (18 goals in the season) and has only 17% of games without scoring, while Valur scores 1.71 goals on the road on average (24 goals in the season) but fails to score in 29% of away matches. In the last 5 matches the hosts average 1.2 points per game with 6 goals for and 6 against, whereas Valur averages 0.8 points per game with 6 goals for and 10 against, indicating inferior form from the visitors. The quality-of-chances analysis partly favors FH — home xG is 1.72 with xG against 1.68, while Valur’s away xG for is 1.48 and xG against 2.08, suggesting the visitors concede more high-value chances. Valur, however, has the edge in efficiency (conversion 13% vs 10%), slightly more on-target shots (5 vs 4.83) and a higher league position (5 vs 11), so I expect a split of points with a small probability of a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes due to strong attacking signals and weak defenses: FH has a seasonal BTTS rate of 86% and Valur 57%, against a league BTTS level of 74%. Both teams average 1.71 goals per match each (3.42 combined), with xG 1.68 for FH and 1.48 for Valur, indicating realistic scoring chances from both sides. Additionally, both concede heavily — FH concedes 2.14 per match, Valur 1.71, and in the last 5 fixtures away teams conceded on average 2.0 goals while hosts conceded 1.2 (6 and 10 goals conceded respectively in the last 5). Clean sheets are rare (seasonal 14% for both), and shot and on-target shot stats (13.86 vs 12.71 shots and 5.14 vs 5.0 on target) alongside a high league goals average of 4.0 per match further support both teams finding the net. Summing these figures, I assess BTTS probability at ~78% versus 22% for No Goal, therefore the optimal pick is 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics indicate a high-scoring game: both teams average 1.71 goals per match (FH 1.71, Valur 1.71), yielding a combined season average of 3.42 goals; total xG for is 1.68 + 1.48 = 3.16, and projected xG are 1.88 for FH and 1.83 for Valur, totaling 3.71. FH concedes 2.14 goals per match on average, Valur 1.71, and with average shots of 13.86/12.71 and shots on target 5.14/5.0 and conversion rates 12%/13%, there will be chances to score. Season Over 2.5 rates are 86% for FH and 57% for Valur (avg ~71%), and the league goals average is 4.0 per match with 71% of matches over 2.5, strongly supporting the Over 2.5 case. Additionally BTTS is 86% for FH, 57% for Valur, and 74% in the league, so there is a high probability both teams will score. Given the projected 3.71 goals and the percentages above, the best and strongest option is an Over 2.5 bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side led at the break in 3 of 7 matches this season (43%) and opened the scoring in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%), while the visitors led at halftime in only 2 of their last 5 (40%). In first halves both teams average 1.0 goals each (1.0 vs 1.0), but in the last 5 matches the hosts score an average of 1.2 goals by the break versus 0.6 for the visitors, giving the home team a clear advantage at kickoff. The hosts also have a higher xG of 1.68 compared to the visitors’ 1.48 and a better season points average (1.43 vs 1.29), while the league is high-scoring (an average of 4.0 goals per match); additionally, the first goal before halftime has occurred in 100% of the hosts’ home games, so a goalless first half is unlikely. Considering first-half statistics (the hosts average 2.2 points at the break in the last 5 versus 1.4 for the visitors) along with the xG and form advantage, the most likely scenario is the hosts leading at halftime and maintaining the win to full-time (1/1). Therefore 1/1 receives the highest probability (30%); I next favor a halftime draw with a later home win X/1 (approx. 15%), while the visitors holding their lead to full-time is assessed lower (e.g. 2/2 12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FH | Valur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FH is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - FH · 0.8 pts / match - Valur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valur is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - FH · 1.71 goals / match - Valur
Valur is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.38 goals / match - FH · 1.93 goals / match - Valur
FH scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
Valur scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while FH keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FH
Over / Under - Valur
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FH - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Valur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FH
Valur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| FH | Liga | Valur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.77 | 4.08 | ▼ 3.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 69% | 72% | • 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 13% | • 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 84% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 88% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): FH 1 - 1 - 2 Valur. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FH vs Valur?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished FH 2:0 Valur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FH and Valur?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches FH won 1, Valur won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FH vs Valur?
FH score 1.38 goals per game on average and Valur 1.71. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 77% of FH's matches and 71% of Valur's.
What form are FH and Valur in?
Over the last 5 games FH have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Valur 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FH vs Valur?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.