FH vs Víkingur Reykjavík: match statistics

Víkingur Reykjavík are top of the table with a record of 14 wins, 3 draws and just 1 defeat, while FH have won only 3 of their 18 league matches. Away from home, the visitors average 3.00 goals per game, while FH concede 1.33 goals at home; furthermore, Víkingur have failed to score in none of their away matches. The visitors’ superiority is also evident in their performance metrics: they create an average of 1.98 xG while allowing opponents just 1.03 xG, whereas FH have a high 1.87 xG against at home. The hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches and have conceded just 1 goal during that run, but they have scored only 4 goals, and 56% of their home matches end in a draw. Víkingur’s recent form has been less consistent, as they have lost twice and conceded 10 goals in their last five matches, but their season-long conversion rate of 17% and 78% away-win rate still clearly point in the visitors’ favour.

The “Yes” pick is supported by the high attacking potential of both teams: FH score an average of 3.44 goals, while Víkingur Reykjavík average 3.00, with xG figures of 2.34 and 1.98 respectively. Neither team has recorded a match without scoring this season, while BTTS has occurred in 56% of FH’s matches and 67% of Víkingur’s, compared with the league average of 70%. Both defences concede just 0.89 goals per match over the season, but their recent xG against figures are higher, at 2.10 for FH and 1.57 for Víkingur. The main risk is FH’s current form: they have scored just 0.8 goals across their last five matches and recorded BTTS in only 20% of cases. However, Víkingur conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period, clearly increasing the likelihood of the home side finding the net. The attacking strength of both teams, along with 78% of each team’s matches going over 2.5 goals, slightly favours goals at both ends.

Both teams have cleared the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their matches so far this season, creating a very strong signal for at least two goals. The hosts average 2.34 xG, while the visitors average 1.98 xG, with 19.67 and 17.78 shots taken on average, respectively, meaning both sides regularly create a high volume of chances. The 2.5-goal line has been covered by each team in 78% of matches, compared with the league-wide average of 69%, further supporting the prospect of an open game. However, FH’s recent form has been more defensive, as the team has scored 4 and conceded just 1 goal in five matches. Therefore, the safest selection is Over 1.5 rather than the higher goal lines.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an FH win at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches and scored just 0.0 goals before half-time during that period. At the same time, FH improve markedly after the interval: across the season, they average 2.22 goals in the second half, win the second half in 89% of matches, and concede only 0.33 goals during that period. Víkingur Reykjavík also frequently avoid losing the opening half, having been level at half-time in 56% of their league matches, which further supports the X HT outcome. The hosts’ second-half advantage is also underpinned by their stronger recent defensive record: they have conceded no goals after the break in their last five matches, while the visitors have conceded an average of 1.2 goals during that period. Although both teams have a 78% season win rate, FH average 8.11 shots on target compared with the opponent’s 6.11 and have the higher xG, 2.34 versus 1.98, which suggests they can edge this evenly balanced match in their favour.