Fiorentina vs Cagliari: match statistics
Fiorentina displays better form in the last five matches with a record of 1.6 points per match compared to Cagliari's 1.4. The hosts show a significant advantage in xG statistics at their own stadium (1.7 vs 1.12 for the visitors away), suggesting higher quality in chance creation. Cagliari struggles severely with keeping clean sheets on the road (only 9% CS%) and has a high rate of goals conceded (average 1.55 per match). In home matches, Fiorentina averages 16.5 shots with 54% possession, which should translate into goals given the visitors' weak defense. A draw remains a realistic option due to the high number of draws for both teams this season, but xG statistics and form speak in favor of the hosts. Cagliari scores points sporadically away (18% win rate), making their victory the least likely scenario.
Fiorentina vs Cagliari: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fiorentina played Cagliari in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Fiorentina: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cagliari: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fiorentina scores 1.10 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Cagliari scores 1.05 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fiorentina 67%, Cagliari 52%. Over 2.5: Fiorentina 57%, Cagliari 48%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Fiorentina has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.09. Fiorentina: 13.7 shots per match, Cagliari: 10.1.
Match halves
Fiorentina: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.67. Cagliari: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Fiorentina: 46-60 (5 goals). Cagliari: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fiorentina displays better form in the last five matches with a record of 1.6 points per match compared to Cagliari's 1.4. The hosts show a significant advantage in xG statistics at their own stadium (1.7 vs 1.12 for the visitors away), suggesting higher quality in chance creation. Cagliari struggles severely with keeping clean sheets on the road (only 9% CS%) and has a high rate of goals conceded (average 1.55 per match). In home matches, Fiorentina averages 16.5 shots with 54% possession, which should translate into goals given the visitors' weak defense. A draw remains a realistic option due to the high number of draws for both teams this season, but xG statistics and form speak in favor of the hosts. Cagliari scores points sporadically away (18% win rate), making their victory the least likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fiorentina | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fiorentina is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Fiorentina · 1.4 pts / match - Cagliari
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fiorentina is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Fiorentina · 1.05 goals / match - Cagliari
Cagliari is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Fiorentina · 1.43 goals / match - Cagliari
Fiorentina scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Cagliari scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fiorentina
Over / Under - Cagliari
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fiorentina is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Fiorentina · 0.81 pts / match - Cagliari
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cagliari - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fiorentina
Cagliari
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fiorentina | Liga | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.62 | 2.37 | ▲ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 43% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 32% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 64% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fiorentina 0 - 1 - 0 Cagliari. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
The Serie A match finished Fiorentina 1:2 Cagliari. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
Fiorentina score 1.10 goals per game on average and Cagliari 1.05. The Serie A average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Fiorentina's matches and 52% of Cagliari's.
What form are Fiorentina and Cagliari in?
Over the last 5 games Fiorentina have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cagliari 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
The statistical background for Fiorentina vs Cagliari — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.