Fiorentina vs Cremonese: match statistics
Fiorentina presents very poor home form with just 13% wins and a staggering 63% loss rate at their own stadium, placing them last (20th) in the home table. Cremonese shows significantly better stability in away matches with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses, ranking 12th in the away table. A key factor is Fiorentina's advantage in possession (52% vs 45%) and better xG figures (1.54 vs 0.95), yet their form in the last 5 home games is catastrophic. Cremonese might exploit the hosts' struggles, but their difficulty scoring away (44% of matches without a goal) suggests a low probability of a certain victory. Considering all statistics, a draw appears the most likely scenario, though Fiorentina holds a slight edge due to home advantage and superior offensive parameters.
Fiorentina vs Cremonese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fiorentina played Cremonese in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Fiorentina: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Cremonese: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fiorentina scores 1.00 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Cremonese scores 1.06 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fiorentina 65%, Cremonese 53%. Over 2.5: Fiorentina 59%, Cremonese 35%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Fiorentina has higher xG: 1.34 vs 0.99. Fiorentina: 13.3 shots per match, Cremonese: 8.5.
Match halves
Fiorentina: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.59. Cremonese: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Fiorentina: 46-60 (4 goals). Cremonese: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fiorentina presents very poor home form with just 13% wins and a staggering 63% loss rate at their own stadium, placing them last (20th) in the home table. Cremonese shows significantly better stability in away matches with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses, ranking 12th in the away table. A key factor is Fiorentina's advantage in possession (52% vs 45%) and better xG figures (1.54 vs 0.95), yet their form in the last 5 home games is catastrophic. Cremonese might exploit the hosts' struggles, but their difficulty scoring away (44% of matches without a goal) suggests a low probability of a certain victory. Considering all statistics, a draw appears the most likely scenario, though Fiorentina holds a slight edge due to home advantage and superior offensive parameters.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fiorentina | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cremonese is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Fiorentina · 1.4 pts / match - Cremonese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cremonese is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Fiorentina · 1.06 goals / match - Cremonese
Cremonese is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Fiorentina · 1.18 goals / match - Cremonese
Fiorentina scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Cremonese keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Cremonese scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fiorentina
Over / Under - Cremonese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cremonese is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Fiorentina · 1.12 pts / match - Cremonese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 6%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cremonese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fiorentina
Cremonese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fiorentina | Liga | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.65 | 2.31 | • 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 42% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 64% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Fiorentina vs Cremonese?
The Serie A match finished Fiorentina 1:0 Cremonese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fiorentina vs Cremonese?
Fiorentina score 1.00 goals per game on average and Cremonese 1.06. The Serie A average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Fiorentina's matches and 53% of Cremonese's.
What form are Fiorentina and Cremonese in?
Over the last 5 games Fiorentina have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Cremonese 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fiorentina vs Cremonese?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.