Fiorentina vs Inter Milan: match statistics
Inter Milan are the clear favorites for this match, sitting 1st in the table with an impressive record of 22 wins this season. Their away form is exceptionally strong – 79% of away matches ending in victory, averaging 1.86 goals scored per game and 64% clean sheets. Fiorentina are only in 16th place, with just 21% of home matches won and a negative goal difference (-1) at home. The hosts' recent form (3 wins in 5 matches overall) does not compensate for the team's inferior quality and Inter's clear advantage in all key statistics, including xG (1.92 vs 1.68) and conversion rate (11% vs 8%). Although Inter are going through a slight dip in form (1 point per game in their last 5 matches), their potential and experience should secure an away win.
Fiorentina vs Inter Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fiorentina played Inter Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Fiorentina: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Inter Milan: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fiorentina scores 1.17 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Inter Milan scores 2.24 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fiorentina 66%, Inter Milan 41%. Over 2.5: Fiorentina 62%, Inter Milan 52%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Milan has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.41. Fiorentina: 13.6 shots per match, Inter Milan: 18.2.
Match halves
Fiorentina: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.72. Inter Milan: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.28.
Goals by minute
Fiorentina: 46-60 (10 goals). Inter Milan: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Milan are the clear favorites for this match, sitting 1st in the table with an impressive record of 22 wins this season. Their away form is exceptionally strong – 79% of away matches ending in victory, averaging 1.86 goals scored per game and 64% clean sheets. Fiorentina are only in 16th place, with just 21% of home matches won and a negative goal difference (-1) at home. The hosts' recent form (3 wins in 5 matches overall) does not compensate for the team's inferior quality and Inter's clear advantage in all key statistics, including xG (1.92 vs 1.68) and conversion rate (11% vs 8%). Although Inter are going through a slight dip in form (1 point per game in their last 5 matches), their potential and experience should secure an away win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fiorentina | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Fiorentina · 2.24 goals / match - Inter Milan
Inter Milan is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Fiorentina · 0.79 goals / match - Inter Milan
Fiorentina scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).
Inter Milan scores in 93% of matches (27 of 29 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fiorentina
Over / Under - Inter Milan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 97% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Fiorentina · 1.97 pts / match - Inter Milan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fiorentina
Inter Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fiorentina | Liga | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.66 | 2.44 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 31% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 65% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fiorentina 0 - 0 - 1 Inter Milan. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fiorentina vs Inter Milan?
The Serie A match finished Fiorentina 1:1 Inter Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fiorentina vs Inter Milan?
Fiorentina score 1.17 goals per game on average and Inter Milan 2.24. The Serie A average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Fiorentina's matches and 41% of Inter Milan's.
What form are Fiorentina and Inter Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Fiorentina have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Inter Milan 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fiorentina vs Inter Milan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fiorentina vs Inter Milan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.