FK Bodo - Glimt vs Molde: match statistics
FK Bodo - Glimt vs Molde: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FK Bodo - Glimt played Molde in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 4 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
FK Bodo - Glimt: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Molde: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
FK Bodo - Glimt scores 2.33 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Molde scores 2.17 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FK Bodo - Glimt 17%, Molde 67%. Over 2.5: FK Bodo - Glimt 67%, Molde 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
FK Bodo - Glimt has higher xG: 2.21 vs 1.54. FK Bodo - Glimt: 16.3 shots per match, Molde: 13.3.
Match halves
FK Bodo - Glimt: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.33. Molde: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
FK Bodo - Glimt: 16-30 (4 goals). Molde: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-0. Average goals 4.25, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FK Bodo - Glimt holds a clear advantage: at home they have won 100% of matches and score an average of 4.0 goals per game (14 goals this season, 13 in the last 5), with 10 shots on target and 25.5 shots overall, xG for 3.13 and 100% clean sheets, despite average xG against of 1.19. Molde have no away wins yet (Win% 0), score on average 1.0 goal and concede 2.5 goals per away match, with xG for 1.33 and xG against 1.5 and 0% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches the home side scored 13 goals and average 2.6 points per game (4 wins, 1 draw), while the visitors have 11 goals and 1.4 points per game (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) with 8 goals conceded. Bodo additionally dominate in chance quality: possession 67% vs 62%, shot conversion 16% vs 9% and shots difference 25.5 vs 11.5 suggest more clear-cut opportunities for the hosts. Based on this I tip a home win, with estimated probabilities of 75% for Bodo, 15% for a draw and 10% for a Molde win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS indicators strongly favor Yes: Molde has a season BTTS rate of 100% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while FK Bodo - Glimt has 50% seasonally and 40% in the last 5, with the league average BTTS at 51%. Offensively Bodo looks stronger by the numbers: 2.75 goals per match and xG 1.64 versus Molde’s season 1.0 goals and xG 1.33; Bodo averages 14.25 shots (5.0 on target) with a 19% conversion rate versus Molde’s 11.5 shots (4.5 on target) and 9%. Molde, however, concedes a lot — 2.5 goals per match seasonally and 8 conceded in the last 5 (1.6 per match), but Molde also scored 11 goals in their last 5 (2.2 per match), showing the visitors can also find the net. Bodo has the better defense (0.75 goals conceded seasonally and 0.4 in the last 5), yet Molde’s lack of clean sheets seasonally (0% clean sheets) and high seasonal and last-5 BTTS results suggest both teams are highly likely to score. Based on this data I assign 78% to Yes (BTTS - Yes) and 22% to No (No Goal) — the strongest signals are Molde’s 100% season BTTS, Molde’s high goals conceded (2.5), and the visitors’ 80% BTTS in their last 5 matches.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Bodo averages 2.75 goals per home match, while Molde averages 1.00 goal and concedes 2.5 goals away with Molde’s defense allowing 0.75 at home, indicating significant home scoring potential. In xG terms the baseline is 1.64 xG for Bodo vs 1.50 xG against Molde (approx. 1.57 for the home side), and for Molde the baseline is 1.33 xG vs 1.25 xG Bodo (approx. 1.29 for the away side). Form confirms this direction: in the last 5 matches Bodo has 2.61 xG and scored 13 goals (2.6 average), Molde has 1.52 xG and scored 11 goals, and Bodo’s shot conversion is 19% vs Molde’s 9%, so I increase the forecast for the hosts. Based on this I project 1.82 goals for Bodo and 1.22 for Molde (total 3.04), which implies a strong probability for Over 1.5 goals (90%), moderate for Over 2.5 (62%) and lower for Over 3.5 (42%). The best betting signal is Over 1.5 due to the combination of the 2.75 home goal average, Molde’s 2.5 away defensive weakness and Bodo’s current form (13 scored and 2 conceded in the last 5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
FK Bodo-Glimt has a clear numerical advantage: they average 2.75 goals per match versus Molde’s 1.00, and at half-time the hosts average 1.25 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Molde average 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. This season the hosts led at the break in 2 of 4 matches (50%), and in Bodo’s last 5 matches they held a lead at the break in 60% of games, whereas Molde led at the break 0 times this season and only in 20% of their last 5 matches. The hosts win at home 75% of matches and average 2.25 points per game versus Molde’s 0.50; additionally xG is 1.64 for Bodo versus 1.33 for Molde and shot conversion is 19% vs 9%, indicating higher efficiency for the hosts. Bodo frequently score before and just before half-time (2 goals in 0–15 min and 2 goals in 31–45 min this season); moreover 75% of the hosts’ matches have seen at least one goal by half-time, while Molde have seen this in all of their matches (100%). Therefore the strongest scenario is 1/1 (lead at the break for Bodo and a Bodo win at Full-Time) — I assign it a 58% probability; the alternatives 1/X (12%) and X/1 (10%) are less likely, and situations where Molde lead at the break I estimate at roughly 8% in total.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FK Bodo - Glimt | Molde | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FK Bodo - Glimt is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - FK Bodo - Glimt · 1.4 pts / match - Molde
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FK Bodo - Glimt is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - FK Bodo - Glimt · 2.17 goals / match - Molde
FK Bodo - Glimt is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - FK Bodo - Glimt · 1.33 goals / match - Molde
FK Bodo - Glimt scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Molde keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Molde scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while FK Bodo - Glimt keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FK Bodo - Glimt
Over / Under - Molde
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FK Bodo - Glimt is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - FK Bodo - Glimt · 1.33 pts / match - Molde
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FK Bodo - Glimt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Molde - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FK Bodo - Glimt
Molde
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| FK Bodo - Glimt | Liga | Molde | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.89 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): FK Bodo - Glimt 1 - 3 - 0 Molde. Average goals 4.25, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FK Bodo - Glimt vs Molde?
The Eliteserien match finished FK Bodo - Glimt 0:1 Molde. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FK Bodo - Glimt and Molde?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches FK Bodo - Glimt won 1, Molde won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 4.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FK Bodo - Glimt vs Molde?
FK Bodo - Glimt score 2.33 goals per game on average and Molde 2.17. The Eliteserien average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 17% of FK Bodo - Glimt's matches and 67% of Molde's.
What form are FK Bodo - Glimt and Molde in?
Over the last 5 games FK Bodo - Glimt have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Molde 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FK Bodo - Glimt vs Molde?
The statistical background for FK Bodo - Glimt vs Molde — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.