Flamengo vs Bahia: match statistics
Flamengo vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Flamengo play Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 20 April 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Flamengo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Bahia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Flamengo scores 1.82 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Bahia scores 1.47 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Flamengo 47%, Bahia 68%. Over 2.5: Flamengo 65%, Bahia 53%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Flamengo has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.62. Flamengo: 14.8 shots per match, Bahia: 14.5.
Match halves
Flamengo: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.00. Bahia: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Flamengo: 0-15 (8 goals). Bahia: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Flamengo is the favorite in this matchup due to a clear advantage in attack and game control: at home they score on average 2.25 goals per match and register 15.75 shots (4.75 on target) with 59% possession, while Bahia away averages 1.4 goals and 10.2 shots per match (4.2 on target). Defensively the hosts also perform better — Flamengo concedes only 0.5 goals per home match and has 50% clean sheets, whereas Bahia concedes 1.2 goals away with 40% clean sheets. The difference in chance quality is confirmed by xG: Flamengo has 1.70 xG for at home versus 1.18 xG for Bahia away, and xG against is 1.16 vs 1.82 respectively, suggesting the hosts create superior chances and take fewer risks at the back. Form also favors the hosts — Flamengo won 4 of the last 5 matches and averages 2.4 points per match in that period, while Bahia has 3 wins in 5 and 1.8 points per match; both teams have 0% goalless matches in these samples. Considering the edge in shots, higher xG and lower average goals conceded at home, I predict a Flamengo victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Flamengo | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.82 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.47 goals / match - Bahia
Flamengo is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.26 goals / match - Bahia
Flamengo scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Bahia scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Flamengo
Over / Under — Bahia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flamengo is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / match - Flamengo · 1.32 pts / match - Bahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Flamengo
Bahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Flamengo | Liga | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.65 | • 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Flamengo 1 - 0 - 1 Bahia. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Flamengo vs Bahia?
The Serie A match finished Flamengo 2:0 Bahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Bahia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 1, Bahia won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Flamengo vs Bahia?
Flamengo score 1.82 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.47. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Flamengo's matches and 68% of Bahia's.
What form are Flamengo and Bahia in?
Over the last 5 games Flamengo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bahia 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flamengo vs Bahia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.