Brazil - Serie AEstadio Jornalista Mário FilhoData current as of 30 August 2026

Flamengo vs Botafogo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Flamengo vs Botafogo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Flamengo play Botafogo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 30 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho.

Current form

Flamengo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Botafogo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Flamengo scores 1.96 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Botafogo scores 1.61 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Flamengo 52%, Botafogo 74%. Over 2.5: Flamengo 61%, Botafogo 70%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Flamengo has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.55. Flamengo: 14.9 shots per match, Botafogo: 14.2.

Match halves

Flamengo: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.13. Botafogo: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.91.

Goals by minute

Flamengo: 46-60 (11 goals). Botafogo: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.38)
(4.95)
(6.80)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.96Goals scored / match1.61
FlamengoBotafogo
0.91Goals conceded / match1.61
FlamengoBotafogo
56%Average possession48%
FlamengoBotafogo
5.09Shots on target / match5.22
FlamengoBotafogo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.91Shots per match14.17
FlamengoBotafogo
5.09Shots on target5.22
FlamengoBotafogo
13.1%Shot conversion11.3%
FlamengoBotafogo
56%Possession48%
FlamengoBotafogo
1.66xG for1.55
FlamengoBotafogo
1.34xG against1.68
FlamengoBotafogo

Shooting quality

Flamengo: DominantBotafogo: Attacking
FlamengoBotafogo
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Flamengo is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Flamengo · 1 pts / match - Botafogo

Flamengo
DDWWL
Season result split
57% W26% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-4
1.96 pts / match · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Botafogo
DWDLL
Season result split
35% W26% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-9
1.30 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-6
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.97Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Flamengo is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.96 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.61 goals / match - Botafogo

Flamengo is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.91 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.61 goals / match - Botafogo

Flamengo scoring profile: very strong

Flamengo scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).

Botafogo scoring profile: strong

Botafogo scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).

45Goals scored (season)37
FlamengoBotafogo
21Goals conceded (season)37
FlamengoBotafogo
2.87Average goals in match3.22
FlamengoBotafogo
10Goals scored (last 5)4
FlamengoBotafogo
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
FlamengoBotafogo

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal83%
FlamengoBotafogo
57%2 goals48%
FlamengoBotafogo
30%3 goals22%
FlamengoBotafogo
13%4 goals9%
FlamengoBotafogo

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal87%
FlamengoBotafogo
22%2 goals43%
FlamengoBotafogo
9%3 goals17%
FlamengoBotafogo
0%4 goals9%
FlamengoBotafogo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

4%BTTS at half-time26%
FlamengoBotafogo
0%BTTS in both halves9%
FlamengoBotafogo
48%Scored in both halves26%
FlamengoBotafogo

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
FlamengoBotafogo
30%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
FlamengoBotafogo
80%BTTS - last 540%
FlamengoBotafogo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
FlamengoBotafogo
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
FlamengoBotafogo
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
FlamengoBotafogo

2nd half

96%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
FlamengoBotafogo
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
FlamengoBotafogo
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
FlamengoBotafogo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Flamengo is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.91 pts / match - Flamengo · 1.43 pts / match - Botafogo

Flamengo - half-time state
57% leading22% draw22% trailing
Botafogo - half-time state
39% leading26% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.91Points per match (1st half)1.43
FlamengoBotafogo
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.7
FlamengoBotafogo
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
FlamengoBotafogo
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.39
FlamengoBotafogo
74%Clean sheet before half-time43%
FlamengoBotafogo
39%No goal before half-time52%
FlamengoBotafogo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.96Points per match (2nd half)1.48
FlamengoBotafogo
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)0.91
FlamengoBotafogo
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.91
FlamengoBotafogo
1.74Average goals (2nd half)1.83
FlamengoBotafogo
57%Clean sheet after half-time39%
FlamengoBotafogo
22%No goal after half-time39%
FlamengoBotafogo

Flamengo - second-half results

61% W13% R26% P
44
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Botafogo - second-half results

39% W30% R30% P
33
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Flamengo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Botafogo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Flamengo
ScoredConceded
9
1
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
3
31-45
11
5
46-60
7
3
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Botafogo
ScoredConceded
7
8
0-15
2
4
16-30
7
4
31-45
4
11
46-60
5
3
61-75
12
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
76%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Flamengo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Botafogo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
142%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

FlamengoLigaBotafogo
Average goals in match 2.872.62 3.22
Both teams scored 52%59% 74%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%50% 70%
Clean sheets 39%24% 13%
Goal before half-time 83%75% 78%
Goal after half-time 96%78% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Flamengo 2 - 1 - 0 Botafogo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Botafogo
0 : 3
Flamengo
Botafogo FR
0 : 3
CR Flamengo
CR Flamengo
0 : 0
Botafogo FR

FAQ

When do Flamengo and Botafogo play?

Flamengo face Botafogo on 30 August 2026 in Serie A at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Botafogo?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 2, Botafogo won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Flamengo vs Botafogo?

Flamengo score 1.96 goals per game on average and Botafogo 1.61. The Serie A average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Flamengo's matches and 74% of Botafogo's.

What form are Flamengo and Botafogo in?

Over the last 5 games Flamengo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Botafogo 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flamengo vs Botafogo?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Flamengo vs Botafogo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.