Flamengo vs Grêmio: match statistics
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Flamengo vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Flamengo play Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 4 November 2026. Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho.
Current form
Flamengo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Grêmio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Flamengo scores 2.06 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Grêmio scores 1.12 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Flamengo 52%, Grêmio 58%. Over 2.5: Flamengo 64%, Grêmio 42%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Flamengo has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.31. Flamengo: 16.1 shots per match, Grêmio: 12.1.
Match halves
Flamengo: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.18. Grêmio: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Flamengo: 76-90+ (14 goals). Grêmio: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Flamengo | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Flamengo is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Flamengo · 1.6 pts / match - Grêmio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 84% better for: goals scored per match.
2.06 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.12 goals / match - Grêmio
Flamengo is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.33 goals / match - Grêmio
Flamengo scores in 94% of matches (31 of 33 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
Grêmio scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Flamengo
Over / Under - Grêmio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flamengo is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Flamengo · 1.24 pts / match - Grêmio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Flamengo
Grêmio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Flamengo | Liga | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.91 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 59% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 23% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Flamengo 2 - 1 - 0 Grêmio. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Flamengo and Grêmio play?
Flamengo face Grêmio on 4 November 2026 in Serie A at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Grêmio?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 2, Grêmio won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Flamengo vs Grêmio?
Flamengo score 2.06 goals per game on average and Grêmio 1.12. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Flamengo's matches and 58% of Grêmio's.
What form are Flamengo and Grêmio in?
Over the last 5 games Flamengo have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Grêmio 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flamengo vs Grêmio?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.