Flamengo vs Santos: match statistics
Flamengo vs Santos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Flamengo played Santos in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Flamengo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Santos: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Flamengo scores 1.63 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Santos scores 1.33 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Flamengo 50%, Santos 78%. Over 2.5: Flamengo 63%, Santos 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Flamengo has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.26. Flamengo: 12.5 shots per match, Santos: 11.7.
Match halves
Flamengo: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75. Santos: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Flamengo: 0-15 (4 goals). Santos: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Flamengo are favorites to win: at home the hosts score an average of 2.00 goals and concede only 0.33 goals per match, with a 67% win rate and 67% clean sheets in home fixtures. Santos away score an average of 1.25 goals and concede 2.00 goals per match, have not won an away game yet (away win percentage 0%) and failed to score in 25% of away matches. Quality of chances favors Flamengo: home average xG for the hosts is 1.65 versus Santos’ average away xG against of 1.42, and the hosts register an average of 5 shots on target with a 14% conversion rate compared to 3.25 shots on target and 9% conversion for the visitors. Form also lies with the hosts — Flamengo have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 9 goals in those five, equating to 2.0 points per game over the last five; Santos have 1 win, 6 goals and 1.2 points per game in the same period. Considering the defensive advantage (0.33 vs 2.00 goals conceded), better possession (58% vs 49%) and higher quality of chances, I assess the probability of a Flamengo win at 70%, a draw 20% and a Santos win 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high season BTTS rates: Flamengo 80% and Santos 75% (average 77.5%), while the league average is 56%, providing a strong signal for BTTS - Yes. Flamengo at home scores 1.4 goals on average with an xG of 1.13, and Santos away generates xG 1.42 and scores 1.25 goals, so both sides regularly create scoring opportunities. Santos concedes 2.0 goals on average away (xG against 1.42), and Flamengo concedes 1.0 goals at home on the season, though in the last 5 matches they concede only 0.8 per game, indicating a mix of Flamengo’s solid defensive form and Santos’s vulnerability. Flamengo has a low BTTS rate in the last 5 matches (20%) versus Santos’s 60% in the last 5, but considering the long-term 80%/75% figures, higher xG and Santos’s weaker away defence, I assign approximately a 70% probability to BTTS (Yes) and 30% to No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate a total of approximately 2.65 goals: about 1.28 for Flamengo and 1.37 for Santos, calculated as the average of home attack xG (1.13) and away defense xG (1.42), and the average of away attack xG (1.42) and home defense xG (1.31). Flamengo has 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals this season, and Santos 75%, so Over 1.5 looks highly likely (I rate it 92%). The 2.5 line is less certain: seasonally Over 2.5 occurs in 40% of Flamengo’s matches and 75% of Santos’s matches, and the expected 2.65 goals gives a moderate edge to Over 2.5 (62%). Over 3.5 appears unlikely, as Flamengo has 0% of matches >3.5, the total projection of 2.65 is well below 3.5, and therefore I rate Under 3.5 at 78%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Flamengo led at the break in 40% of matches this season and were drawing at half-time in 60% (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 40%, drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 60%); in the last five home matches the hosts led at the break in 60% of cases. In the first half Flamengo average 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.8, concededAVGHT_home = 0.4), while Santos average 0.5 scored and 0.75 conceded at half-time (scoredAVGHT_away = 0.5, concededAVGHT_away = 0.75), which favors an even half-time score. In the second half Flamengo average 0.6 goals (scored_2hg_avg_home = 0.6) and accumulate 1.4 points in second halves at home (ppg_2hg_home = 1.4), whereas Santos concedes an average of 1.25 goals after the break (conceded_2hg_avg_away = 1.25). Santos have not won this season (winPercentage_away = 0.0) and concede an average of 2.0 goals per match (seasonConcededAVG_away = 2.0); therefore, with a 60% chance of a draw at half-time the most likely and strongest signal is a draw after 45 minutes and a Flamengo victory after 90 minutes (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Flamengo | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Flamengo is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Flamengo · 1.2 pts / match - Santos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.33 goals / match - Santos
Flamengo is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.44 goals / match - Santos
Flamengo scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Santos keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Santos scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Flamengo
Over / Under - Santos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flamengo is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Flamengo · 1.33 pts / match - Santos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Santos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Flamengo
Santos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Flamengo | Liga | Santos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.70 | • 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 22% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Flamengo 1 - 0 - 1 Santos. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Flamengo vs Santos?
The Serie A match finished Flamengo 3:1 Santos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Santos?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 1, Santos won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Flamengo vs Santos?
Flamengo score 1.63 goals per game on average and Santos 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Flamengo's matches and 78% of Santos's.
What form are Flamengo and Santos in?
Over the last 5 games Flamengo have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Santos 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flamengo vs Santos?
The statistical background for Flamengo vs Santos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.