Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Flamengo played Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Flamengo: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Flamengo scores 2.00 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.38 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Flamengo 50%, Vasco da Gama 85%. Over 2.5: Flamengo 67%, Vasco da Gama 62%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.53. Flamengo: 13.8 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 17.8.
Match halves
Flamengo: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.00. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Flamengo: 0-15 (6 goals). Vasco da Gama: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Flamengo has a clear home advantage: they score 2.2 goals and concede only 0.4 goals per match at home, with 60% clean sheets and an 80% home win rate. Vasco away averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match, has not yet recorded an away win (0% wins) and has no clean sheets on the road. In quality of chances Flamengo generates 1.84 xG at home versus 1.57 xG for Vasco away, and they convert at 13% with an average of 5.4 shots on target per match compared to Vasco’s 7% conversion and 4.33 shots on target. Form confirms the hosts’ superiority — Flamengo scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches and are on a run of 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 points per match), while Vasco scored 8 goals in their last 5 and have a record of 3 wins and 2 losses (1.8 points per match). Given superior efficiency, better defence and Vasco’s lack of away wins, I assess probabilities as 75% home win, 15% draw and 10% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have very high season BTTS rates: Flamengo 86% and Vasco 83%, averaging around 84.5%, which is a strong signal in favor of BTTS - Yes. The quality of chances analysis confirms this: Flamengo generates 2.14 xG at home with 19.43 shots and 6.29 on target, while Vasco away posts 1.57 xG with 15.83 shots and 4.33 on target; simultaneously Vasco concedes 1.41 xG on average and Flamengo 1.18 xG, meaning both teams’ attacking output exceeds the opponent’s defensive allowance. Over the season Flamengo scores 1.57 and concedes 1.29, and Vasco scores 1.17 and concedes 1.67, highlighting Vasco’s greater susceptibility to goals conceded (1.67). The last 5 matches paint a mixed picture (BTTS 60% for Flamengo vs 40% for Vasco, average goals 2.6 and 1.6 and goals conceded 0.6 and 0.8), so short-term certainty drops, but the dominance of season metrics and xG favors BTTS - Yes, hence the rating 78% vs 22%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated opponents' xG suggest 1.78 expected goals for Flamengo (xG_for 2.14 vs xG_against Vasco 1.41) and 1.38 for Vasco (xG_for 1.57 vs xG_against Flamengo 1.18), totaling 3.16. Both teams have a high share of matches with BTTS: Flamengo 86% and Vasco 83%, and over 1.5 occurred for them in the season in 86% and 83% of games, giving a strong signal for Over 1.5. Flamengo averages 1.57 goals per match this season (last 5: 2.6) and records 6.29 shots on target versus Vasco's 4.33, increasing the likelihood of further goals. Over 2.5 has moderate support (Flamengo 71%, Vasco 50%, last 5: 60%), while Over 3.5 has been rare (14% and 17%), therefore the safest line to play is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Flamengo have a clear advantage in chance creation: xG 2.14 versus 1.57 for Vasco and on average 6.29 shots on target versus 4.33, translating into more opportunities. In their last five matches Flamengo led at the break in 4 of 5 games (80%) and averaged 1.6 goals by half-time, while Vasco led at the break in 2 of 5 (40%) and averaged 0.4 goals by half-time. After the break the hosts are even more dangerous: Flamengo score on average 1.29 goals in the second half versus 0.67 for Vasco, and in minutes 61–75 they scored 4 goals versus 0 for their opponents, so they can produce a turnaround after the break. Vasco have 0% wins this season and average 0.5 points per match, therefore an away win is unlikely, although the high proportions of both teams scoring (BTTS 86% and 83%) suggest the game will be high-scoring. Accordingly the strongest signal is Flamengo leading at half-time and winning Full-Time (1/1), and as an alternative I consider a half-time draw and Flamengo to win Full-Time (X/1) due to their xG advantage and second-half effectiveness.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Flamengo | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Flamengo is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Flamengo · 1 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.38 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Flamengo is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.46 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Flamengo scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 matches).
Vasco da Gama scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Flamengo
Over / Under - Vasco da Gama
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flamengo is 135% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Flamengo · 0.85 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Flamengo
Vasco da Gama
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Flamengo | Liga | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 85% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 48% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Flamengo 0 - 2 - 0 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama?
The Serie A match finished Flamengo 2:2 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Vasco da Gama?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 0, Vasco da Gama won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama?
Flamengo score 2.00 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.38. The Serie A average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Flamengo's matches and 85% of Vasco da Gama's.
What form are Flamengo and Vasco da Gama in?
Over the last 5 games Flamengo have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.