Fleetwood Town vs Barrow: match statistics
Fleetwood Town shows solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 7% of their home matches ending without a goal scored. The hosts hold a positive home goal difference (+1) and average 1.6 goals per game, which outperforms Barrow's away record (1.25 goals). Barrow is in a difficult situation, with a 56% loss rate on the road, poor recent form across their last five matches (0.6 points per game), and a negative goal difference (-5). The expected goals (xG) difference is minimal, but Fleetwood holds the advantage in possession (49% vs 45%) and has better shooting accuracy. Considering the home advantage, Barrow's poor away form, and the head-to-head statistics, a Fleetwood Town victory is the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the relatively balanced offensive efficiency of both teams.
Fleetwood Town vs Barrow: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fleetwood Town played Barrow in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Fleetwood Town: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Barrow: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fleetwood Town scores 1.29 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Barrow scores 1.00 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fleetwood Town 71%, Barrow 58%. Over 2.5: Fleetwood Town 52%, Barrow 61%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Fleetwood Town has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.26. Fleetwood Town: 12.1 shots per match, Barrow: 11.1.
Match halves
Fleetwood Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74. Barrow: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Fleetwood Town: 76-90+ (10 goals). Barrow: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fleetwood Town shows solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 7% of their home matches ending without a goal scored. The hosts hold a positive home goal difference (+1) and average 1.6 goals per game, which outperforms Barrow's away record (1.25 goals). Barrow is in a difficult situation, with a 56% loss rate on the road, poor recent form across their last five matches (0.6 points per game), and a negative goal difference (-5). The expected goals (xG) difference is minimal, but Fleetwood holds the advantage in possession (49% vs 45%) and has better shooting accuracy. Considering the home advantage, Barrow's poor away form, and the head-to-head statistics, a Fleetwood Town victory is the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the relatively balanced offensive efficiency of both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fleetwood Town | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fleetwood Town is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Fleetwood Town · 0.6 pts / match - Barrow
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fleetwood Town is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Fleetwood Town · 1 goals / match - Barrow
Fleetwood Town is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.52 goals / match - Barrow
Fleetwood Town scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while Barrow keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).
Barrow scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fleetwood Town
Over / Under - Barrow
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fleetwood Town is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.03 pts / match - Barrow
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Barrow - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fleetwood Town
Barrow
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Fleetwood Town | Liga | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.56 | • 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 26% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fleetwood Town 1 - 0 - 0 Barrow. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fleetwood Town vs Barrow?
The EFL League Two match finished Fleetwood Town 3:2 Barrow. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fleetwood Town vs Barrow?
Fleetwood Town score 1.29 goals per game on average and Barrow 1.00. The EFL League Two average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Fleetwood Town's matches and 58% of Barrow's.
What form are Fleetwood Town and Barrow in?
Over the last 5 games Fleetwood Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Barrow 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fleetwood Town vs Barrow?
The statistical background for Fleetwood Town vs Barrow — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.