England - EFL League TwoData current as of 13 September 2026

Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town: match statistics

155%(1.85)
X28%(3.40)
217%(3.60)

Fleetwood Town displays a decisively better form, earning 2.2 points per game in their last five matches with a record of three wins and two draws, whereas Cheltenham Town achieves only 1.4 points per game. The hosts hold a distinct advantage in home fixtures with a 41% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2), while the visitors win only 18% of their away games with a disastrous -19 goal difference. Fleetwood scores an average of 1.59 goals per home game with an xG of 1.4, while Cheltenham manages a mere 0.88 goals away with an xG of 1.15, exposing their offensive struggles. Additionally, the visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match, which, given the hosts' solid goal-scoring form (6 goals in their last 5 matches), suggests their defensive vulnerability. Considering all the statistical data, Fleetwood Town has significant chances of victory, although Cheltenham's knack for draws (29% away) and a recent streak of four draws in five matches means sharing the points cannot be ruled out.

Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fleetwood Town played Cheltenham Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 10 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Fleetwood Town: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Cheltenham Town: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fleetwood Town scores 1.29 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Cheltenham Town scores 1.06 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fleetwood Town 69%, Cheltenham Town 50%. Over 2.5: Fleetwood Town 49%, Cheltenham Town 44%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Fleetwood Town has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.18. Fleetwood Town: 12.3 shots per match, Cheltenham Town: 10.4.

Match halves

Fleetwood Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.77. Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Fleetwood Town: 76-90+ (13 goals). Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Fleetwood Town displays a decisively better form, earning 2.2 points per game in their last five matches with a record of three wins and two draws, whereas Cheltenham Town achieves only 1.4 points per game. The hosts hold a distinct advantage in home fixtures with a 41% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2), while the visitors win only 18% of their away games with a disastrous -19 goal difference. Fleetwood scores an average of 1.59 goals per home game with an xG of 1.4, while Cheltenham manages a mere 0.88 goals away with an xG of 1.15, exposing their offensive struggles. Additionally, the visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match, which, given the hosts' solid goal-scoring form (6 goals in their last 5 matches), suggests their defensive vulnerability. Considering all the statistical data, Fleetwood Town has significant chances of victory, although Cheltenham's knack for draws (29% away) and a recent streak of four draws in five matches means sharing the points cannot be ruled out.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
15Shots6
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
3Shots on target3
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
1.63xG0.89
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
8Corners2
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
64Dangerous attacks39
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
12Fouls7
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
2Cards3
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
1.29Goals scored / match1.06
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
1.23Goals conceded / match1.68
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
50%Average possession48%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
4.29Shots on target / match3.03
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.29Shots per match10.41
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
4.29Shots on target3.03
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
10.5%Shot conversion10.2%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
50%Possession48%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
1.41xG for1.18
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
1.47xG against1.71
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

Shooting quality

Fleetwood Town: BalancedCheltenham Town: Balanced
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
Accuracy (shots on target)35%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fleetwood Town is 57% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.4 pts / match - Cheltenham Town

Fleetwood Town
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
37% W29% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-10-12
1.40 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 0.94BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Cheltenham Town
DDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W21% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-17
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-9
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LLDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fleetwood Town is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.06 goals / match - Cheltenham Town

Fleetwood Town is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.23 goals / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.68 goals / match - Cheltenham Town

Fleetwood Town scoring profile: very strong

Fleetwood Town scores in 83% of matches (29 of 35 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

Cheltenham Town scoring profile: very strong

Cheltenham Town scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 20% (7 of 35 matches).

45Goals scored (season)36
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
43Goals conceded (season)57
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
2.51Average goals in match2.74
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal71%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
31%2 goals26%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
11%3 goals9%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
3%4 goals0%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal76%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
37%2 goals50%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
3%3 goals21%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
3%4 goals9%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time21%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
6%BTTS in both halves9%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
17%Scored in both halves18%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

BTTS and goal count

49%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
40%BTTS - last 580%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
49%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fleetwood Town is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Fleetwood Town · 0.88 pts / match - Cheltenham Town

Fleetwood Town - half-time state
26% leading40% draw34% trailing
Cheltenham Town - half-time state
12% leading53% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)0.88
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
0.51Goals scored (1st half)0.35
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.06
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
49%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
54%No goal before half-time68%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.12
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.97
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
1.37Average goals (2nd half)1.68
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
51%Clean sheet after half-time29%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town
46%No goal after half-time44%
Fleetwood TownCheltenham Town

Fleetwood Town - second-half results

26% W51% D23% L
41
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cheltenham Town - second-half results

24% W41% D35% L
30
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding242%

Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fleetwood Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Cheltenham Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fleetwood Town
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
6
7
16-30
8
9
31-45
4
4
46-60
10
11
61-75
13
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Cheltenham Town
ScoredConceded
3
11
0-15
4
4
16-30
5
9
31-45
5
12
46-60
10
10
61-75
9
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fleetwood Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Cheltenham Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Fleetwood TownLigaCheltenham Town
Average goals in match 2.512.57 2.74
Both teams scored 69%54% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 49%47% 44%
Clean sheets 20%26% 24%
Goal before half-time 77%69% 56%
Goal after half-time 69%77% 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Fleetwood TownGoalMark HelmAssist: Owen Devonport
  2. Fleetwood TownYellow cardJosh Powell
  3. Cheltenham TownYellow cardGeorge Miller
  4. Fleetwood TownGoalMark HelmAssist: Ethan Ennis
  5. Cheltenham TownGoalJordan Thomas
  6. Cheltenham TownYellow cardRobbie Cundy
  7. Fleetwood TownSubstitutionOn: Will DaviesOff: Detlef Esapa Osong
  8. Cheltenham TownGoalIsaac Hutchinson
  9. Fleetwood TownSubstitutionOn: Mitchell ClarkOff: Josh Powell
  10. Cheltenham TownYellow cardJosh Davison
  11. Fleetwood TownYellow cardJay Anthony Lynch

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

David RockMatches officiated: 14
5Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins36%Draws21%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Fleetwood Town 0 - 0 - 1 Cheltenham Town. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Cheltenham Town FC
2 : 0
Fleetwood Town FC

FAQ

What was the result of Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Fleetwood Town 2:2 Cheltenham Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town?

Fleetwood Town score 1.29 goals per game on average and Cheltenham Town 1.06. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Fleetwood Town's matches and 50% of Cheltenham Town's.

What form are Fleetwood Town and Cheltenham Town in?

Over the last 5 games Fleetwood Town have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cheltenham Town 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.