Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
Fleetwood Town displays solid home form with a 55% win rate and an impressive +5 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.91 goals per game on home soil with a mere 9% loss rate, making them clear favorites. Grimsby Town struggles on the road, recording only a 27% win rate and a negative -2 goal difference, additionally failing to score in 18% of matches. Recent form also favors the hosts, with Fleetwood averaging 1.6 points per game in their last five outings compared to Grimsby's 1.0. While the visitors' 56% possession advantage could stifle the game, creating a tangible possibility of a draw, Fleetwood's home statistics identify a home win as the most likely outcome.
Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fleetwood Town play Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 1 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Fleetwood Town: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Grimsby Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fleetwood Town scores 1.24 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Grimsby Town scores 1.60 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fleetwood Town 67%, Grimsby Town 52%. Over 2.5: Fleetwood Town 46%, Grimsby Town 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.41. Fleetwood Town: 12.3 shots per match, Grimsby Town: 13.8.
Match halves
Fleetwood Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74. Grimsby Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Fleetwood Town: 76-90+ (14 goals). Grimsby Town: 31-45+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Fleetwood Town displays solid home form with a 55% win rate and an impressive +5 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.91 goals per game on home soil with a mere 9% loss rate, making them clear favorites. Grimsby Town struggles on the road, recording only a 27% win rate and a negative -2 goal difference, additionally failing to score in 18% of matches. Recent form also favors the hosts, with Fleetwood averaging 1.6 points per game in their last five outings compared to Grimsby's 1.0. While the visitors' 56% possession advantage could stifle the game, creating a tangible possibility of a draw, Fleetwood's home statistics identify a home win as the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fleetwood Town | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grimsby Town is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.6 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.6 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.13 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Fleetwood Town scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 35% (17 of 48 matches).
Grimsby Town scores in 83% of matches (40 of 48 matches), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 20% (9 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fleetwood Town
Over / Under — Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.44 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fleetwood Town
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Fleetwood Town | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fleetwood Town 0 - 0 - 1 Grimsby Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Fleetwood Town 0:1 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town?
Fleetwood Town score 1.24 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.60. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Fleetwood Town's matches and 52% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Fleetwood Town and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Fleetwood Town have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Grimsby Town 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.