Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
Fleetwood Town displays solid home form with a 55% win rate and an impressive +5 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.91 goals per game on home soil with a mere 9% loss rate, making them clear favorites. Grimsby Town struggles on the road, recording only a 27% win rate and a negative -2 goal difference, additionally failing to score in 18% of matches. Recent form also favors the hosts, with Fleetwood averaging 1.6 points per game in their last five outings compared to Grimsby's 1.0. While the visitors' 56% possession advantage could stifle the game, creating a tangible possibility of a draw, Fleetwood's home statistics identify a home win as the most likely outcome.
Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fleetwood Town played Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 1 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Fleetwood Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Grimsby Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fleetwood Town scores 1.39 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Grimsby Town scores 1.48 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fleetwood Town 70%, Grimsby Town 52%. Over 2.5: Fleetwood Town 48%, Grimsby Town 48%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.42. Fleetwood Town: 12.4 shots per match, Grimsby Town: 14.3.
Match halves
Fleetwood Town: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. Grimsby Town: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Fleetwood Town: 76-90+ (8 goals). Grimsby Town: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fleetwood Town displays solid home form with a 55% win rate and an impressive +5 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.91 goals per game on home soil with a mere 9% loss rate, making them clear favorites. Grimsby Town struggles on the road, recording only a 27% win rate and a negative -2 goal difference, additionally failing to score in 18% of matches. Recent form also favors the hosts, with Fleetwood averaging 1.6 points per game in their last five outings compared to Grimsby's 1.0. While the visitors' 56% possession advantage could stifle the game, creating a tangible possibility of a draw, Fleetwood's home statistics identify a home win as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fleetwood Town | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fleetwood Town is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Fleetwood Town · 1 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.48 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Fleetwood Town scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Grimsby Town scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fleetwood Town
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.39 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fleetwood Town
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Fleetwood Town | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 47% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Fleetwood Town 0:1 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town?
Fleetwood Town score 1.39 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.48. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Fleetwood Town's matches and 52% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Fleetwood Town and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Fleetwood Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Grimsby Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.