Fleetwood Town vs Notts County: match statistics
Notts County are showing significantly better form in their last five matches, earning 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Fleetwood Town are severely underperforming with just 3 points and four consecutive losses prior to their last win. The visitors are 5th in the table and have an identical away win percentage (46%) as the hosts do at home, but with a much better defense – conceding an average of only 1.08 goals per away match compared to 1.46 for the hosts. Fleetwood have managed only one win in their last five home matches, confirming their form struggles. Notts County boast a better goal difference overall (41:28) as well as in away matches (+2 difference), which combined with a 23% clean sheet rate on the road gives them a real advantage. Taking all statistics into account, Notts County have a higher chance of securing three points in this encounter.
Fleetwood Town vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fleetwood Town played Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Fleetwood Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Notts County: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fleetwood Town scores 1.33 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.52 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fleetwood Town 70%, Notts County 59%. Over 2.5: Fleetwood Town 52%, Notts County 52%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Fleetwood Town has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.29. Fleetwood Town: 12.0 shots per match, Notts County: 10.9.
Match halves
Fleetwood Town: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. Notts County: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Fleetwood Town: 76-90+ (10 goals). Notts County: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Notts County are showing significantly better form in their last five matches, earning 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Fleetwood Town are severely underperforming with just 3 points and four consecutive losses prior to their last win. The visitors are 5th in the table and have an identical away win percentage (46%) as the hosts do at home, but with a much better defense – conceding an average of only 1.08 goals per away match compared to 1.46 for the hosts. Fleetwood have managed only one win in their last five home matches, confirming their form struggles. Notts County boast a better goal difference overall (41:28) as well as in away matches (+2 difference), which combined with a 23% clean sheet rate on the road gives them a real advantage. Taking all statistics into account, Notts County have a higher chance of securing three points in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fleetwood Town | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Notts County is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Fleetwood Town · 2 pts / match - Notts County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.52 goals / match - Notts County
Notts County is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.04 goals / match - Notts County
Fleetwood Town scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
Notts County scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fleetwood Town
Over / Under - Notts County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Notts County is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Fleetwood Town · 1.37 pts / match - Notts County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fleetwood Town
Notts County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Fleetwood Town | Liga | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.61 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fleetwood Town 0 - 0 - 1 Notts County. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fleetwood Town vs Notts County?
The EFL League Two match finished Fleetwood Town 1:2 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fleetwood Town vs Notts County?
Fleetwood Town score 1.33 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.52. The EFL League Two average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Fleetwood Town's matches and 59% of Notts County's.
What form are Fleetwood Town and Notts County in?
Over the last 5 games Fleetwood Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Notts County 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fleetwood Town vs Notts County?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fleetwood Town vs Notts County: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.