Fleury 91 vs Caen: match statistics
Fleury 91 vs Caen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fleury 91 played Caen in National (France). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Stade Auguste Gentelet. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Fleury 91: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Caen: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fleury 91 scores 1.50 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Caen scores 1.88 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fleury 91 75%, Caen 25%. Over 2.5: Fleury 91 50%, Caen 38%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Caen has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.31. Fleury 91: 10.5 shots per match, Caen: 11.8.
Match halves
Fleury 91: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Caen: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Fleury 91: 16-30 (3 goals). Caen: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caen are 3rd in the standings and have won 5 of their 8 matches this season, while Fleury 91 sit 13th with 2 wins to their name. In their last five matches, the visitors have recorded 3 wins and the hosts 2, giving Caen a slight edge in terms of results. However, away games are a weakness for the visitors: they have lost 2 of their 3 such matches and concede an average of 2 goals per game, while Fleury score an average of 1.6 goals at home. The quality of chances created is similar — the hosts’ home xG is 1.42, while Caen’s away xG is 1.39 — so the gap in the standings does not point to a clear advantage in this match. I’m backing Caen because of their stronger results this season, although their away defensive record suggests this will be a closely contested game.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - No has a slight edge: Fleury 91 kept a clean sheet in 60% of home matches and conceded an average of just 0.6 goals in those games. Caen failed to score in 33% of its away matches, while BTTS occurred in only 20% of Fleury’s home matches and 33% of Caen’s away matches. However, the signal is not conclusive, as both teams scored in each of Fleury’s last five matches, with the team conceding an average of 1.4 goals. Caen had BTTS in only 20% of its matches over the same period, so despite averaging 1.67 goals scored away from home, it is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Fleury 91 average 2.0 goals at home, while Caen concede 2.0 on the road, giving the hosts a strong basis for finding the net. The visitors also have attacking potential: their average away xG is 1.39, although Fleury allow opponents just 1.07 xG on average. At least two goals have been scored in 100% of Caen’s away matches and 60% of Fleury’s home games. Fleury’s last five matches have produced an average of 3.6 goals, but Caen’s last five have averaged 2.4, making the Over 2.5 line less certain. With a forecast of 2.65 total goals, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, with an estimated probability of 74%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest HT/FT pick is Fleury 91 to lead at the break and win the match: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their 5 matches and won 4 of 5 overall. They score an average of 2.0 goals and concede 0.6, while Caen score 1.67 goals but concede 2.0. Fleury 91’s average of 1.2 goals scored in the first half supports the home side taking the lead, although caution is warranted as Caen led at the break in 2 of their 3 matches. Even if the visitors make a strong start, they concede an average of 1.67 goals in second halves, compared with just 0.2 for Fleury 91, so a home turnaround remains a realistic scenario. However, 1/1 is the stronger pick than such a turnaround, given Fleury 91’s more frequent leads at half-time and clearly better full-time results.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fleury 91 | Caen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caen is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Fleury 91 · 1.8 pts / match - Caen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caen is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Fleury 91 · 1.88 goals / match - Caen
Caen is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Fleury 91 · 1.13 goals / match - Caen
Fleury 91 scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Caen keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Caen scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Fleury 91 keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fleury 91
Over / Under - Caen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caen is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Fleury 91 · 2.13 pts / match - Caen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fleury 91 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Caen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fleury 91
Caen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Fleury 91 | Liga | Caen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.33 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 37% | • 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- CaenRed cardYoro Mamadou Diaby
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fleury 91 0 - 0 - 2 Caen. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fleury 91 vs Caen?
The National match finished Fleury 91 3:2 Caen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fleury 91 and Caen?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fleury 91 won 0, Caen won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fleury 91 vs Caen?
Fleury 91 score 1.50 goals per game on average and Caen 1.88. The National average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Fleury 91's matches and 25% of Caen's.
What form are Fleury 91 and Caen in?
Over the last 5 games Fleury 91 have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Caen 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fleury 91 vs Caen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.