Flint Town United vs Cardiff MU: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a close match with a slight advantage for the draw scenario. Flint Town United displays poor home form with only a 25% win rate and 50% losses at their own ground, although their last 5 overall matches show improvement (2 PPG). Cardiff MU is characterized by a very high away draw rate (58%), and their recent form includes 4 draws in their last 5 matches, confirming their tendency to share points. The hosts have the advantage in ball possession (53% vs 44%) and xG (1.89 vs 1.3); however, Cardiff is more efficient in chance conversion (16% vs 10%) and fails to score away from home less often (17% FTS). The visitors' positive away goal difference (+3) compared to the hosts' negative home goal difference (-7), coupled with Cardiff MU's current drawing streak, makes a draw the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Flint Town United vs Cardiff MU: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Flint Town United played Cardiff MU in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Flint Town United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Cardiff MU: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Flint Town United scores 1.60 and concedes 2.04 goals per match. Cardiff MU scores 1.40 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Flint Town United 56%, Cardiff MU 68%. Over 2.5: Flint Town United 68%, Cardiff MU 56%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Flint Town United has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.38. Flint Town United: 14.0 shots per match, Cardiff MU: 10.8.
Match halves
Flint Town United: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.60. Cardiff MU: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Flint Town United: 16-30 (12 goals). Cardiff MU: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a close match with a slight advantage for the draw scenario. Flint Town United displays poor home form with only a 25% win rate and 50% losses at their own ground, although their last 5 overall matches show improvement (2 PPG). Cardiff MU is characterized by a very high away draw rate (58%), and their recent form includes 4 draws in their last 5 matches, confirming their tendency to share points. The hosts have the advantage in ball possession (53% vs 44%) and xG (1.89 vs 1.3); however, Cardiff is more efficient in chance conversion (16% vs 10%) and fails to score away from home less often (17% FTS). The visitors' positive away goal difference (+3) compared to the hosts' negative home goal difference (-7), coupled with Cardiff MU's current drawing streak, makes a draw the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Flint Town United | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Flint Town United is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Flint Town United · 0.8 pts / match - Cardiff MU
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flint Town United is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Flint Town United · 1.4 goals / match - Cardiff MU
Cardiff MU is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.04 goals / match - Flint Town United · 1.6 goals / match - Cardiff MU
Flint Town United scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
Cardiff MU scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Flint Town United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Flint Town United
Over / Under - Cardiff MU
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flint Town United is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Flint Town United · 1.04 pts / match - Cardiff MU
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Flint Town United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cardiff MU - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Flint Town United
Cardiff MU
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Flint Town United | Liga | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.64 | 2.99 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 56% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 29% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 75% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Flint Town United 1 - 0 - 1 Cardiff MU. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Flint Town United vs Cardiff MU?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Flint Town United 1:1 Cardiff MU. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Flint Town United and Cardiff MU?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Flint Town United won 1, Cardiff MU won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Flint Town United vs Cardiff MU?
Flint Town United score 1.60 goals per game on average and Cardiff MU 1.40. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Flint Town United's matches and 68% of Cardiff MU's.
What form are Flint Town United and Cardiff MU in?
Over the last 5 games Flint Town United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cardiff MU 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flint Town United vs Cardiff MU?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.