Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Flint Town United played Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Ground Cae-y-Castell. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Flint Town United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Colwyn Bay: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Flint Town United scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Colwyn Bay scores 1.75 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Flint Town United 50%, Colwyn Bay 33%. Over 2.5: Flint Town United 58%, Colwyn Bay 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Colwyn Bay has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.28. Flint Town United: 9.0 shots per match, Colwyn Bay: 13.4.
Match halves
Flint Town United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.58. Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Flint Town United: 76-90+ (4 goals). Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Colwyn Bay are 6th and have won 7 of their 12 matches, while 13th-placed Flint Town United have managed just 2 wins. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 goals and conceding 4; over the same period, the hosts have scored 6 and conceded 10. The quality of chances created also gives Colwyn Bay a slight edge: their average away xG is 1.56, compared with Flint’s 1.46 at home. However, backing an away win calls for caution, as Colwyn Bay have lost 67% of their away matches and concede an average of 2 goals per game on the road, although the hosts have also lost 60% of their home fixtures. Colwyn Bay’s stronger form in recent weeks outweighs their poor away record.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In Flint Town United’s home matches and Colwyn Bay’s away matches, both teams scored in only 33% of games, supporting a BTTS - No pick. The hosts kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches, while the visitors failed to score in 50% of their away games — the strongest indication that one side may not find the net. Flint Town United score an average of 2.17 goals at home, while Colwyn Bay concede 2.0 away, making a goal for the visitors less likely than one for the hosts. Colwyn Bay’s recent form is a risk to this pick: they averaged 2.6 goals across their last five matches, while Flint Town United conceded 2.0, so the edge for BTTS - No is moderate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Flint Town United averaged 1.2 goals scored but conceded 2.0, while Colwyn Bay scored 2.6 goals per game. Both teams went Over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 5 matches, and the league average is 3.27 goals. Flint Town United average 2.17 goals at home, while Colwyn Bay concede 2.0 away, strengthening the case for Flint Town United to score. At the same time, the hosts kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches, making higher goal lines less certain despite the visitors’ strong scoring form. With a projected total of 3.05 goals, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, with an estimated probability of 81%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Flint Town United have won all 6 included home matches, scoring an average of 2.17 goals, while Colwyn Bay have conceded an average of 2.00 goals away from home and lost 67% of their matches. A home lead at the break is the most likely single outcome: Flint led at half-time in 50% of their home matches, while the visitors were trailing at the break in 67% of their away games. The second-half figures support them holding on to their advantage—Flint average 1.33 goals at home after the break and have conceded none, whereas Colwyn Bay score only 0.17 goals per away match in the second half. However, the signal is not unequivocal: across their last 5 matches regardless of venue, the visitors have won 4 times and scored an average of 2.6 goals, compared with 1.2 for the hosts. Despite the visitors’ stronger recent form, Colwyn Bay’s away-day struggles combined with Flint’s home results make a home lead at the break followed by a home win the likeliest HT/FT outcome (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Flint Town United | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Colwyn Bay is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Flint Town United · 2.4 pts / match - Colwyn Bay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colwyn Bay is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Flint Town United · 1.75 goals / match - Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Flint Town United · 1.25 goals / match - Colwyn Bay
Flint Town United scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
Colwyn Bay scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Flint Town United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Flint Town United
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colwyn Bay is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Flint Town United · 1.33 pts / match - Colwyn Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Flint Town United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Flint Town United
Colwyn Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Flint Town United | Liga | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.31 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 85% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Flint Town United 1 - 0 - 1 Colwyn Bay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Flint Town United 0:1 Colwyn Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Flint Town United won 1, Colwyn Bay won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?
Flint Town United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.75. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Flint Town United's matches and 33% of Colwyn Bay's.
What form are Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay in?
Over the last 5 games Flint Town United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?
The statistical background for Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.